财神爷说币

I am not a cryptocurrency mentor, I don't offer courses or earn commissions, I'm just an old investor who has blown up accounts and stepped into many pitfalls.

Last year, a brother came to me with 2700U, saying he wanted to make back his previous losses. I didn't talk to him about moving averages or MACD, which are complex; I just shared three pieces of experience I've learned the hard way. He followed my advice for 3 months, and his account grew to 50,000 U without blowing up once. How much you can understand from these three "rules for survival" depends on how much respect you have for the market. ​

First, divide the money into three parts, first ensure your survival, then seek profit.

I told him to split the 2700U into three portions of 900U each, and not to move a single cent — this was a lesson I learned the hard way after blowing up my entire account and losing sleep over it:

The first portion should focus on short-term trades, opening a maximum of two positions per day, and closing the software right after; the longer you stare, the easier it is to get greedy. The second portion waits for trends; if the weekly chart hasn't shown a bullish pattern or broken key levels with strong volume, just stay still. Jumping into fluctuations is like giving away money; the third portion is emergency funds, used to average down when the market suddenly drops and threatens to blow up your account, at least it allows you to stay in the market.

Blowing up a position is just losing your fingers, losing all your capital is like losing your head; without capital, there are no opportunities.
​
Second, only take a bite of the trend, and act like a turtle for the rest.

I fell for too many traps in sideways markets in my early years, getting burned in 9 out of 10 trades.

Later, I only recognized three entry signals: if the daily moving averages haven't aligned for a bullish trend, firmly stay in cash, don't always be afraid of "missing opportunities";

Only when the market breaks previous highs with strong volume, and the daily close stabilizes, do I dare to enter with a small position; once profits reach 30% of the capital, I take half of the profits out, and set a 10% trailing stop on the remaining — what you have in hand is yours, don't think about capturing the entire market move.

Third, lock in your emotions, and mechanical execution leads to longevity. Before entering a trade, you must write a trading plan and stick to it: set a stop loss at 3%, and automatically close the position when the time is up, don't keep thinking "just a bit longer";

When profits reach 10%, adjust the stop loss to the cost price, the rest of the gains are just bonuses from the market; shut down the computer at midnight every day, no matter how tempting the K-line looks, don't keep watching. If it's really hard to sleep, just uninstall the app — the longer you watch, the more your emotions can get messy, and once they do, you're bound to make mistakes. ​

The market is always there, but without capital, you have nothing. First, get these three rules right, then start thinking about those waves and indicators.

That’s all for today. If you liked it, just follow me @财神爷说币

Yesterday, Xiao Lin came to me with her phone, looking aggrieved:

"Master, look at the Bitcoin I bought in early 25 years, due to the trend,

It's been 10 months, and not only have I not made money, but I haven't even outperformed the earnings from Yu'ebao!"

I took her phone and flipped through the holding records, sighed:

"Isn't that right? Look at the price at the beginning of this year,

It's still the same price now, which is like gaining nothing for more than half a year.

Let alone compared to other assets — US stocks have risen steadily,

Gold and silver resist declines, even our usual complaint, A-shares,

Have performed slightly better this year, not to mention outperforming Yu'ebao, which is 'guaranteed to make money.'"

Xiao Lin pouted: "I used to hear people say Bitcoin is 'digital gold',

It resists inflation and can hedge risks, but this year's performance is just too 'trash.'"

I pointed at the BTCK line on the screen:

"Don't just criticize altcoins, Bitcoin's performance this year,

Really doesn't qualify to mock others. If we calculate by 'profitability',

It hasn't even reached a passing line this year — many thought in 25 years it would rise due to halving expectations,

But the expectations fell through, and it couldn't even achieve basic asset appreciation."

Xiao Lin suddenly asked: "Then before, there were always people cursing altcoins for their steep declines,

Now it seems like Bitcoin should be scolded a bit too, right?"

"It's not that we need to scold on purpose," I shook my head,

"It's just that there's no need for double standards — don't complain just because altcoins are volatile,

Bitcoin's 'lying flat' performance this year is equally disappointing.

After all, many people buy it for its greater growth potential compared to other assets,

But after 10 months, not to mention appreciation,

It can't even outperform stable investments, anyone would feel frustrated."

Xiao Lin nodded: "Isn't that right? If I had known this, I'd have been better off putting my money in Yu'ebao, at least I wouldn't have to keep watching the market anxiously every day."

I patted her shoulder: "Don't be too quick to deny it, the market naturally has ups and downs.

It's just that this year's situation really reminds us not to deify any asset — even Bitcoin has its off days; instead of being eager to scold, it's better to look at it rationally:

It hasn't outperformed other assets, perhaps due to the overall market environment this year, or maybe expectations were just too high @财神爷说币 .

In the evening, I messaged my female apprentice, Xiao Ai:

"Don't stay up late binge-watching dramas tonight at 20:30,

When the U.S. September CPI data comes out, the crypto market might stir up a storm."​

Xiao Ai replied instantly: "Master, what exactly is this CPI?

Is it more important than the moving averages we were watching before?"​

I laughed while holding my phone: "It's the 'policy barometer' for the crypto market,

The Federal Reserve looks at it to set interest rates, and our positions are affected by it.

Just remember: If CPI is high, inflation isn't under control,

The Federal Reserve might continue tightening, and if the dollar is strong, the crypto market could easily be drained;

If CPI drops, there’s hope for rate cuts, funds will flow back,

Bitcoin and Ethereum might just rebound."​

She asked again: "So how does the market look this time?"​

"Now everyone guesses the September CPI year-on-year rate is 3.1%. If it exceeds that, it’s bad news; if it’s lower, it’s good news.

Have you forgotten about that time in 2022? CPI caused Bitcoin to fluctuate over 10% in a single day; tonight, this script might replay."​

Xiao Ai sent a nervous emoji: "So what should I do? I still have some positions!"​

I explained to her step by step: "You're a beginner, first protect your short positions:

Don't move around in the hour before the data comes out, lower your leverage, and keep your positions light,

Don’t gamble on rises or falls; at this time, 'staying alive' is more important than making money. It's easy to get liquidated in a spike.

If you want to position for the medium term, just watch the data: If CPI drops, follow what we said before,

Build positions in mainstream coins in batches, focusing on the long-term logic of 'rate cuts + Bitcoin halving';

If inflation remains stubborn, hold your cash steady, and wait to act after the market calms down."​

She pressed on: "So how do the experts do it?"​

"Experienced ones use options to hedge risks, but the ratio must be controlled well; otherwise, you could end up in a worse situation due to hedging.

Actually, no matter how you operate, there's one core principle: Don’t panic."​

Finally, I added:

"Even if there’s a lot of volatility tonight, the long-term value of Bitcoin and the logic of blockchain haven’t changed,

This is just a market 'stress test'.

You watch the market with me, remember:

Staying calm is more effective than any technique; those who can remain steady in chaos

Are the ones who will ultimately make money."​

Xiao Ai replied, "Got it, Master."

If you're also afraid of stepping into traps tonight, follow me and Xiao Ai to analyze the market together; let’s proceed steadily @财神爷说币

Last week, I reviewed with my female apprentice, Xiao Ai. Suddenly, she said with red eyes:

"Master, I previously went all in shorting, and from a capital of five hundred thousand, I ended up with less than fifty thousand!"

I handed her a cup of warm water, half-jokingly:

"At that time, I told you to try with one hundred thousand, and you said, 'Master, you are too conservative, if I miss this opportunity, there won't be another one.' Do you remember?"

Xiao Ai slapped the table, feeling frustrated:

"Back then, my mind was full of 'if I fall behind, I'll miss out on a big profit,' how could I listen to advice!"

I sighed: "In the crypto world, it’s hard to remember the pitfalls without experiencing them yourself — even if I remind you every day, you would likely still go all in at that time."

She suddenly leaned in: "Master, is it true that there are whales targeting retail investors?

Every time I buy, it keeps falling; right after I cut my losses, it shoots up. It's too strange!"

I pointed at the K-line on the screen:

"The global market operates 24 hours non-stop; our little positions are like waves in the sea.

Feeling targeted is actually a sign that beginners often overvalue their own trades."

"Then how do I turn things around now?" Xiao Ai asked anxiously.

"The most interesting thing about the crypto world is that the methods to make money are simple enough to be looked down upon."

I slowly said, "The hard part isn’t finding patterns; it’s controlling yourself.

I’ve told you before, there are PhDs who write tons of quantitative strategies but still lose money, while a street vendor selling pancakes invests in Bitcoin and ends up making a profit.

The difference isn’t knowledge; it’s the ability to accept that 'most of the time, doing nothing is better than blindly fidgeting.'"

"So what should I buy now?" she pressed on.

"Bitcoin has stabilized at a key moving average, accumulate in batches, and set your stop-loss to hold steady," I said directly.

Xiao Ai was taken aback: "Is it that simple?"

"It’s that simple," I countered, "but can you refrain from staring at the market every day?

Can you accept a floating loss of 30% and still not act?" She fell silent.

In fact, many new traders in the crypto world are like this, always fixated on hundred-fold altcoins, thinking that if they don't stay up late reading white papers, they aren't working hard.

It's like someone who has never surfed thinking the techniques are complex,

but true experts understand that the hardest part is maintaining composure in the wind and waves.

After guiding several groups of apprentices, I finally realized that the true essence of the crypto world is hidden in the most fundamental disciplines.

Don't be greedy, don't be anxious, don't make rash moves.

If you are also confused in trading and want to learn about the crypto world, avoid pitfalls, and walk steadily, feel free to reach out to me. Let's take it slow together @财神爷说币 .

"Wealth freedom"—these four words took me three years to truly understand.

In the first year, I was obsessed with making quick money, and ended up writing my "goal" as "bankruptcy";

In the second year, I learned to recognize losses and stop them, slowly bringing my account back to the "break-even" line;

In the third year, relying on a few self-summarized "earth rules", I finally no longer had to worry about making a living, and even able to quit my job to study the market seriously.

From initially entering the market with 20,000 in New Year's money, to now not needing to work and not going hungry, I didn't rely on insider information, nor did I dare to go all-in, all thanks to these 7 rules:

First, divide the principal into five parts, first ensure the bottom line before seeking profits. I will split the principal into five parts, entering the market with only one part at a time, with a 10% stop-loss line that I will never waver from— even if I make five consecutive wrong bets, the total loss will not exceed 10%, so it won't cause significant harm. Once profits reach 10%, I will first withdraw the principal.

Second, go with the trend, don’t confront the market head-on. The trend is like an elevator; it's easier to go along with it; going against it is like climbing stairs in a power outage, tiring and prone to falls. Don’t think about "buying the dip" when prices are falling; that’s not picking up bargains, it’s giving away money; only during upward corrections is it safe to enter the market.

Third, don't touch coins that surge; they are all "hot potatoes". Those coins that multiply five times in three days may look tempting but are actually "death tokens"; unless you can monitor the market 24 hours a day, you are likely to become a bag holder.

Fourth, you don’t need many indicators; three are enough. I now only use MACD for the big picture, RSI to judge overbought or oversold conditions, and VPVR to find support and resistance levels. Previously, I had a bunch of flashy indicators, which instead confused me.

Fifth, don’t increase positions when in loss, add more when in profit. Adding to positions when prices drop is "laying mines", while increasing positions when prices rise is "riding the wind". If you’re wrong, cut your losses; don’t endure it until you're numb.

Sixth, volume and price are the most honest. A sudden increase in volume after a period of low volume indicates that the market is about to start; if there's high volume but no price increase, it’s definitely the main force selling off, time to run. If you don’t understand K lines, just look at the volume; the bar chart created by money will not deceive you.

Seventh, reviewing is saving money. Every day at market close, I write three sentences: why I bought, why I sold, and how to improve next time. Stick to this for 30 days, and the "tuition" previously paid can be reduced, and you can even avoid many pitfalls.

How to plan funds, how to seize opportunities, how to control rhythm, I can slowly explain to you @财神爷说币

Recently, I had in-depth conversations with several heads of top market makers and VCs,

and we reached some harsh yet realistic consensus that I want to share with you all.

After all, the current market is tough; rather than making wild guesses, it's better to face reality.

First, we must accept that the peak of the altcoin season is truly over, so stop holding onto fantasies. In fact, I mentioned a year ago that VC investment in the Web3 primary market had already contracted, and the situation is now even more evident. The black swan events of October 10-11 have had a nearly devastating impact on altcoins; retail investors encountering altcoins now find that the returns and risks are completely disproportionate, and it's highly likely to be a thankless task.

The only possible exception is infrastructure projects backed by real resources, such as stablecoins, RWA, and payment tracks, but most of these projects are unlikely to issue tokens, and there’s no opportunity to participate even if you want to.

Speaking of DAT, the bubble is currently bursting. Long-tail DAT does not have real buy orders to take over; recently, many transactions have been in a "token-for-equity" non-cash model. From the perspective of project parties, token holders, and financial advisors, doing DAT can raise funds and make money, so they are naturally willing to do it; but for investors, whether you're a private placement participant before DAT goes public or a buyer after it goes public, there’s a high probability that you will be the one getting harvested.

What should we do now? We need to recognize the current phase and not rush in. This is not the good time of one or two years ago when "buying with closed eyes was profitable," but it hasn’t reached the peak of the bull market where "selling with closed eyes" is the norm — the real peak should be a state of mindless market frenzy, not this current spread of panic (the following is only my personal opinion; investment requires personal judgment):

For friends who are in cash positions, a few family office people have contacted me, planning to allocate 5%-20% of their funds to BTC, which I think is reasonable, especially since the current exchange rate of BTC to gold is at a low point; for those who are fully invested or have leveraged positions, I've repeatedly warned in the past that it is now imperative to reduce leverage immediately and switch to a defensive stance; for those who are half-invested, it might be better to remain unchanged and patiently wait for clear signals.

There's also the aftermath of the October 10-11 events; the market is still healing. Weekly trading volumes on exchanges have mostly dropped by 20%-40%, and market makers (MM) have not escaped this wave either; many have "taken a tumble," and there are large institutions that have faced liquidation due to leverage, but I won’t disclose specific names.

Now, large funds are placing more emphasis on risk control; the entire market needs time to adjust and gradually recover.

How to plan funds? Please contact @财神爷说币 .

People often ask me: "Is it still worth it to enter the market for BNB now? Will I incur losses?"

In fact, I have always wanted to tell everyone that BNB should never be a short-term betting tool,

but rather a long-term asset to hold. Instead of being entangled in the current price, it is better to learn to "nurture for the long term."​

During the most torturous phase of the bear market in 2022, a friend of mine started to invest regularly in BNB.

At first, he would stay up all night holding his phone every time there was a sharp drop, but gradually he figured it out:

True gains do not come from hitting absolute lows, but rather from consistently buying to average down the cost.

Now, he has achieved passive income freedom through regular investments,

and he can plan for retirement without a 9-to-5 job, which resonates with me deeply. ​

Based on his practical experience and my summary, I would like to share three super practical regular investment strategies that will surely suit you:​

The first is the fixed-period investment method.

Choose a fixed time point, such as every Wednesday, and invest the same amount each time,

My friend at the time invested 500U every week, regardless of whether the K-line was up or down that day, he never overthought it or hesitated.

Over the long term, he naturally bought less at high prices and could accumulate more chips at low prices, gradually lowering the average cost. ​

The second is the laddered investment method.

Set three price range levels in advance:

Increase one level when it drops below 300U, add another level when it drops below 200U, and if it truly drops to 100U, then decisively double down.

This way, a drop is no longer a reason for panic; instead, it becomes an opportunity to accumulate at lower prices, feeling more secure the lower it goes. ​

The third is the EMA moving average assistance method. Using the EMA100 moving average as a reference,

whenever the BNB price approaches this line, it is basically a good time for mid-term positioning;

If you want to be more cautious, look at the EMA200 moving average, which can help you anchor to the long-term trend and avoid being swayed by short-term fluctuations. ​

This set of methods doesn't have any fancy techniques; the core is just two words:

Execution. Regular investment is not about who has the higher IQ, but who can keep calm and be patient.

Those who can steadily invest for an entire year before a bull market arrives,

may seem to have "good luck," but in reality, it is an inevitable outcome of perseverance,

After all, genuine investment opportunities are always left for those willing to wait long-term. ​

This lamp of mine has always been lit; those willing to walk towards the light can naturally see @财神爷说币 .

Thinking of Xiaomin's drop from 28,000 U back to 6,000 U,

I always say: "It's not that she can't seize the rise, it's that she doesn't know when to exit."​

Many people, like her, actually trade quite well — they can catch the rising market,

and can make profits, but in the end, they still watch their earnings evaporate.

Just like someone who buys BTC and makes 20%, always thinking "I'll sell if it rises a bit more",

but when the market reverses, not only do they lose profits, but they also incur losses. ​

The problem isn't with the trading itself, but rather the lack of the key action of "trailing stop loss."​

I often tell my students that trailing stop loss is the "automatic bodyguard" in trading.

It's not a fixed stop loss at one point, but rather moves "forward" with the price increase,

helping you secure profits without missing out on the continuous rising market. ​

For example, when I traded BTC last year, I set a 1,000 U trailing stop loss when I entered at 100,000 U.

As BTC rose to 101,000 U, the stop loss automatically moved to 100,000 U,

so even if it drops now, at least I can preserve my principal;

later, when it rose to 103,000 U, the stop loss followed to 102,000 U,

and when BTC fell back to 102,000 U, the system automatically closed the position, securing a stable profit of 20,000 U.

I didn't have to monitor the market nervously, nor did I have to struggle with "should I sell?"​

Why do I say it’s important? Because emotions are the biggest enemy in trading.

When you make money, you always greedily think "just one more moment";

when it drops a bit, you fear "it will rise again", and the more you hesitate, the more you lose.

But trailing stop loss can help you cut off such emotional interference,

once set, you profit when it rises, and automatically protect your profits when it falls, without manual operation.
​
Here are a few practical tips I can share:

For short-term trading (like 1-3 days), set a trailing stop loss of 0.5%-1%,

for example, if you buy coins worth 100,000 U, sell automatically if it drops by 500-1,000 U to avoid small fluctuations causing big mistakes;

for swing trading (like 1-2 weeks), you can relax it to 2%-3%, giving the market more space;

Another key point is to wait until the account is profitable before setting a trailing stop loss,

don't set it as soon as you enter, as it's easy to get washed out by small fluctuations. ​

Most experienced traders I know rely on this tactic to secure profits.

There was a student who used trailing stop loss,

and last year, during one wave, he rolled from 50,000 U to 180,000 U,

not like before when he would "earn and then give it back".​

Pay attention to @财神爷说币

People often ask me how to go from tens of thousands to millions,

Actually, don't set your sights on tens of millions right away,

First, it's more realistic to hold the first 1 million in your hands.

Once you have this 1 million, even if you only make a 20% profit from spot trading, it can match the annual salary of an average person.

The only reliable way to go from 50,000 to 1 million is through rolling positions, not by slowly accumulating small daily gains of 10%, but by breaking down compound interest into several "precise strikes."​

Usually, use small positions to get a feel for the market, and when a real big market signal comes, concentrate your firepower on the tough battles. Moreover, I only go long and never touch shorts—newbies should not easily challenge two-way operations.​

So what kind of signals are reliable?

They need to meet three points:

First, "breakthrough after a sharp decline and consolidation," the price must stabilize for at least two weeks after a steep drop, and suddenly break out of the consolidation range with increased volume for the trend reversal to be confirmed;

Second, the daily line must steadily stand above key moving averages, and volume must increase along with the price, with fewer complaints in the market and more spectators;

Third, look at the buzz—when no one is talking about coins on trending searches, and retail investors are still complaining about losses, often the main players have already quietly built their positions—this is my experience from falling into traps. ​

Now let's talk about the practical details of operating with a capital of 50,000, all of which I have personally tested:

First, this 50,000 must be spare money that you can afford to lose without affecting your life,

First, ensure you have a stop loss to protect your capital before discussing rolling positions;

Second, use a position mode, keeping the total position within 10%, with a maximum leverage of 10 times, which actually translates to 1 time leverage, and set the stop loss line at 2%, which is manageable;

Third, there are rules for adding positions after breakthroughs—every time the price rises by 10%, use the newly gained profit to open an additional 10% position, always maintaining the stop loss at 2%;

Fourth, never go all in, never average down, and never hold positions—if the stop loss is triggered, stop immediately, preserve your money for the next opportunity. ​

Following this rhythm, a wave of 50% in a primary upward trend can turn 50,000 into 200,000. If you catch two rounds of such market movements, 1 million is secured.

Risk control must be strictly adhered to: avoid oscillations, declines, and news-driven coins. I've seen too many people fall because of this;

In the position mode, even if one position blows up, you only lose the margin, which does not affect the total account;

When rolling positions, every time you make a profit, take 30% out to secure it first; don't let greed backfire. ​

Finally, a reminder: rolling positions is never about gambling; it's about "finding opportunities" @财神爷说币

Taking her into the crypto circle,

Watching the account grow from 13,000 U to 850,000 U,

Not relying on luck, nor guessing blindly, but all based on a set of rolling warehouse method to steadily make progress.

In fact, she was like many beginners at first, panicking to close positions after earning a few points,

and holding onto positions unwilling to cut losses when losing a bit, not that she lacked judgment, but she hadn't grasped the rhythm of the market.

I broke down the core method of rolling warehouses into three points to teach her,

By following these, she finally stabilized the situation.

The first is to follow the trend, avoid volatility.

Previously, she was eager to try out volatile markets,

saying, "It looks like low volatility, low risk," I directly stopped her:

"A market with no volume and no direction is full of traps,

Dealing with volatility in rolling warehouses is purely sending money into risk."

Later, before BTC broke out, we focused on the signals of the main force increasing volume and price breakthroughs, and placed orders in advance.

When the market pulled back, her position doubled directly, and she truly understood the meaning of "waiting for the trend to start."

The second is to increase positions based on floating profits, absolutely not on impulse.

At the beginning, she always thought, "Add more to earn faster," I let her hold back her temper:

Only putting down 5% for the first order, slowly adding after earning floating profits, only daring to increase if floating profits exceed 50%.

Once she wanted to add to her position after a loss, I held her mouse:

"Making up for a loss is just filling a hole; rolling warehouses should amplify advantages within profits, not stubbornly endure losses."

Later, she strictly followed this and never stumbled due to impulsive position increases again.

The third is to be flexible with profit-taking; don’t hold onto one point stubbornly.

I taught her the "three-step profit-taking method":

First lock in half of the profit to protect the principal, then leave part of the position to follow the market, and finally let the remaining profit run on its own.

Previously, she wanted to close all positions after earning a bit, saying, "Securing profits is stable,"

Once in a market situation, I told her not to close all, but to leave 30% of the position.

As a result, it later rose by another 30%, and she finally realized:

"Not closing all is not greed, but understanding to leave space for profits."

From 13,000 to 850,000, she never went all in once, nor did she rely on luck.

The crypto circle is not lacking in opportunities, but lacks people who can step on the rhythm accurately.

Now the market is still moving; it's a good time to practice rolling warehouses.

Making money is never about rushing out; it’s about following methods and accumulating bit by bit.

If you want to understand the specific operations of the "three-step profit-taking method" more clearly,

Follow me @财神爷说币 , I have already organized a practical guide for rolling warehouse profit-taking.
#加密市场回调

For beginners entering the trading market,

being able to understand bullish candlestick patterns is like having a "manual for catching uptrends."

No longer relying on intuition to guess the market, following the pattern signals will greatly increase the probability of seizing profit opportunities.

The following 8 classic patterns from "down to up" to "up continuing up" will help you turn vague trends into clear entry timing.

First, let’s discuss 4 reversal patterns that can make a downtrend "turn upwards."

The double bottom pattern looks like a "W" shape, with the price testing the bottom twice without breaking key support,

when it breaks through the "neckline" at the top of the pattern, it’s a good time to enter;

The triple bottom has tested the bottom one more time than the double bottom, with three tests at the support level holding up,

the upward momentum afterward is stronger, and the market is more stable after breaking the neckline;

The inverted head and shoulders looks like an upside-down "shoulder" shape, with the middle low point being the "head,"

and the slightly higher low points on both sides being the "shoulders." Once the neckline connecting the two shoulder high points is broken, the subsequent rise is worth looking forward to;

The descending wedge is a "false appearance in a downtrend," it seems to be continuously falling,

but in reality, the fluctuation range is getting smaller, and when the pattern breaks, a rebound is highly likely to occur.

Next, let’s look at 4 continuation patterns that can make an uptrend "continue to rise."

The ascending triangle has a very stable bottom support, with the lows gradually rising,

while the highs remain horizontal. Once it breaks through the upper boundary of the pattern, the bullish signal becomes very clear;

The bullish wedge gradually "narrows" during the rise, with both the highs and lows moving upwards,

but the distance between them is getting smaller. After the convergence ends and it breaks upwards, the previous bullish trend can continue;

The bullish flag looks like a "consolidation flag," with a strong rise initially creating a "flagpole,"

then consolidating sideways to form a "flag surface." Once the consolidation is complete, it usually continues to rise in the original direction;

The bullish symmetrical triangle is the result of a tug-of-war between bulls and bears, with highs gradually moving down and lows gradually moving up,

once the struggle results in an upward breakout, the market is likely to be set to explode.

Mastering these 8 patterns not only helps you clearly find entry points,

even stop-loss and target levels will be clearer.

For beginners, this is not a matter of rote memorization,

but a tool to help you understand market signals.

In fact, the crypto market has never relied on luck; if you find the right method and have someone guide you, even the most difficult situations can be turned around @财神爷说币 .

In these years of teaching trading in the crypto world, I have seen too many people fall into the cycle of 'earning and losing.'

Actually, most of the time it's not that the technology is lacking, but rather that they haven't grasped the key of position control.

Not long ago, a fan who learned trading from me relied on the 'rolling position strategy' I taught,

turning 3000U into 9700U in 3 weeks, completely breaking free from the previous cycle of losses.

This fan had been trading cryptocurrencies for two years, always thinking 'to get rich quickly':

He would start with heavy positions and never set stop losses, and after a few liquidation events, he almost lost confidence.

When I broke down the rolling position strategy for him, I didn't explain complicated theories, just made the core logic clear:

Start with a small position to experiment, and once you earn, roll the profit into the next trade,

even if you stop loss, you only lose what you previously earned, and the principal is untouched.

For example, in the first trade, he only invested 20% of his principal, and once the profit reached 2%, he would lock in a portion of the profit, then use the remaining profit to open a new position.

I also told him that before opening a position, he must pass three checks:

Check market sentiment — If there are voices everywhere saying 'must rise,' then stop;

Monitor the main capital movement — Wait for obvious signs of accumulation before entering;

Check your own state — If you feel anxious or want to gamble, absolutely do not operate.

He strictly followed this, no longer taking high risks, nor blindly following signal groups, relying on this steady approach.

Later he told me that now even if he earns 100U, he wouldn't rush to withdraw it,

instead, he would use this portion of profit to open new positions — even if he lost, the principal wouldn't be affected, and he felt particularly assured.

Actually, this is what I often tell my students:

Ordinary people withdraw a little when they earn, thinking it’s safe to pocket it;

But those who can truly earn in the long run treat profits as 'bullets' to roll up.

Rolling positions does not have to be correct every time, win 6 out of 10 operations, and the account can steadily double.

The crypto world is never short of luck, what it lacks is discipline.

Watching him transform from the 'eager to earn quick money' mentality of retail investors to the 'first protect the principal then earn profits' steady approach,

I am even happier than he is — this is the way to survive long in the market.

I have organized the details of the rolling position strategy, the specific methods of position control, and how to assess market sentiment into clear steps.

The path is already laid out, it just depends on whether you are willing to step in @财神爷说币 .

When I first started trading contracts, the dumbest thing I did was to hold positions.

The first time the market reversed, I kept hoping for a "bounce if I just wait a little longer."

I stubbornly stayed awake until 3 AM, watching my margin get wiped out bit by bit, and when the liquidation message popped up, I was completely stunned.

Later I understood that the market doesn't sympathize with those who hesitate; you must decisively exit at the stop-loss point. Accepting losses is much better than stubbornly trying to maintain your position.

I also set a "circuit breaker rule": if I make five consecutive wrong trades, I stop immediately.

Last time the market was chaotic, I stubbornly pushed through, made three consecutive wrong trades and was still unconvinced, resulting in the fifth trade wiping out two weeks' worth of profits.

Since then, whenever I have five consecutive wrong trades, I close the trading software, go downstairs for a couple of laps, take a nap, and then review — with a stable mindset, I can observe the market without bias.

The numbers in the account are all virtual; I deeply resonate with this.

Now, every time I earn 3000 U, I transfer 1500 to my cold wallet.

The last time the market suddenly dropped sharply, fortunately, I had withdrawn quite a bit beforehand; otherwise, all the paper profits would have been lost.

Real winning is about securing profits, not always thinking "let's earn a little more before withdrawing"; in the end, it might just be all in vain.

I don't even touch volatile markets now; previously, I couldn't help but open three trades,

thinking the fluctuations were small, but in the end, the fees and stop-losses cost more than a one-sided trade — I got "swept" back and forth.

Now I only recognize trends: when the candlestick chart shows a clear direction, like the daily chart breaking key levels,

only then do I dare to act — this way, the profits are solid, and I won't be tossed around without patience.

Position control needs to be even stricter; at the beginning, I wanted to go all in for quick money and lost half of my principal in one go.

Now I only use 10% of my principal for each order, with a maximum of 30 U for opening positions; even if I make a mistake, it doesn't hurt, and instead, I can calmly observe the market.

Many people lose not because of poor skills, but because of excessive gambling mentality.

In fact, trading contracts is not a shortcut to wealth; surviving relies not on luck but on execution — cut losses when needed, stop when necessary, and withdraw when appropriate.

Previously, I wandered too far alone and took too many detours; I later realized this industry is too slow to explore on your own.

Now I have a verified method here, which is like paving the road; it just depends on whether you are willing to follow. @财神爷说币

When the green bars on the market software keep stretching, many crypto investors frown at the value of "Fear and Greed Index 22".

This is the lowest point since the beginning of the year, just a step away from "extreme fear".

But the wonder of the market lies in the fact that the bottom of panic often hides opportunities.

Looking back over the past four years, whether it was the black swan impact in 2020, the sharp drop and adjustment in 2021,

or the oscillation and bottoming out in 2023, as long as the index falls to around 20, the signals of a rebound will quietly emerge.

The current market seems to be shrouded in anxiety, but the medium- to long-term support logic has never wavered. The Federal Reserve has clearly entered a rate-cutting cycle,

and the loose liquidity environment has provided a soil for risky assets;

the previously noisy altcoin market has gone through a complete bubble cleanup, with inferior assets being eliminated, which instead allows funds to focus more on valuable projects;

the introduction of stablecoin legislation has cleared key obstacles to industry compliance;

and the advancement of blue-chip coin ETFs and crypto regulatory frameworks is building a "safety barrier" for the industry. These are not short-term variables, but rather the core pillars supporting the market.

The current hesitance in the market mostly stems from short-term disturbances from war and tariffs. These uncertainties act like a thin mist, temporarily obscuring the growth trajectory of the industry, but the mist will eventually clear.

Once these external disturbances fade, the market will naturally return to its original growth rhythm.

If we stretch the timeline, we will find that the current market rhythm is remarkably similar to that of 2021.

In that year, the first half was dominated by greed, followed by a sharp drop into panic territory, experiencing a rebound before hitting the bottom again, ultimately starting a new bull market.

Today's script is almost a replica — only this year's greed emotions played out early after Trump's election victory and trade war news,

and the current wave of panic happens to fall within the same time window: mid-October.

This may not be a coincidence, but rather an inevitability of the market sentiment cycle.

As the tide of panic gradually recedes, those long-term values concealed by emotions will eventually reassert themselves, pushing the crypto market back onto its proper growth track.

In fact, the crypto world has never relied on luck; finding the right method and having someone guide you can turn even the toughest situations around. @财神爷说币

Recently, I've come across a lot of bearish voices that make one feel uneasy: the US stock market is being compared to the collapse before 2008, the A-shares are rumored to be cutting leeks at 4000 points, and the cryptocurrency circle is even more exaggerated, with altcoins being criticized as 'all air and destined to go to zero', even gold is being twisted into a 'chaotic era signal'. Various claims of 'bubble tops' are flying around, as if the market is about to collapse at any moment.

But I've seen this every year — the same thing happened in March and April this year, the market was filled with negative news, some people said 'the crypto market is going to cool down' and 'the stock market is going to crash', many were so panicked they didn't dare to enter the market, but not long after, the market slowly rebounded. The current situation is actually quite similar; it looks scary, but the macro fundamentals simply cannot support the claim of a 'total collapse'.

Take the United States, for example; there has been no systemic risk like the subprime mortgage crisis in 2007, and although economic data has fluctuated, it is far from the level of a crisis outbreak; over here, there aren't any significant triggers for a major collapse either, the so-called 'bearish sentiment' is more about anxiety amplified by emotions.

As for the cryptocurrency market, it needs to be looked at separately: indeed, many altcoins have no real use and rely solely on story speculation, and these kinds of coins will eventually face the bursting of their bubbles; however, core assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum are different, they are backed by long-term capital, and it's more about liquidity and policy expectations rather than following 'altcoin logic', so we can't dismiss everything outright.

The more crucial point is that the world is still in a large cycle of easing expectations; countries are still cutting interest rates, injecting liquidity, and implementing fiscal stimulus. As long as liquidity is released, funds will inevitably flow into risk assets, which is the underlying driving force behind rising prices and is not so easily disrupted.

So don't be scared off by extreme statements. Often, when bearish voices are the loudest, it is precisely when those people have no positions, trying to create panic to pick up cheap stocks; truly smart money won't panic but will look for opportunities to gradually position themselves, leaving room for flexibility.

Ultimately, a collapse is far from imminent, and the market hasn't stopped; the story of global liquidity is far from over. Instead of being thrown off by the talk of 'bubble tops', it's better to calm down and look at the fundamentals; when panicking, waiting a little longer is much more reliable than making reckless moves.

How to plan funds, how to seize opportunities, how to control the rhythm, avoiding several years of detours, sometimes it just takes a few straightforward words@财神爷说币

Having been in the crypto space for a long time, what I want to say to my brothers is this: those who really understand the ropes all know the eight words 'do not earn small money, do not lose big money'.

In the past, people often asked me 'why are you stable in your trades', and the answer is simple: I have focused on the higher level market trends — the weekly and monthly charts are the 'calming pill' for us ordinary players.

We don’t have channels for core information and can’t keep up with institutional movements; all we can rely on is the market itself.

When the weekly and monthly charts show a turning point, that is the signal to enter with real money; that’s when the layout is stable;

In contrast, the fluctuations below the daily chart are crazy, staring at the 15-minute chart and fidgeting around will only lead to frequent stop-losses, losing more and panicking, which is just self-inflicted suffering.

I was the same when I first entered the market, overflowing with confidence, thinking I could catch all the small fluctuations, whether it was a rebound of a few tenths of a point or a short-term pullback, I wanted to grab a piece.

What was the result? Educated by the market again and again, going from 'full of passion' to 'walking on thin ice'.

Later, I realized: the market is inherently full of uncertainty, but human nature tends to fear risks, always wanting a '100% win rate', which ultimately leads to the wrong path of frequent trading.

Wanting to earn from small fluctuations but being reluctant to set stop-losses, and when it's time to cut losses, unable to do so, getting more and more trapped, isn’t this the true depiction of 'wanting to earn small money but losing big money'?

Ultimately, trading is about competing with one’s own human nature:

If you fear losses, set your stop-losses in advance and don’t stubbornly hold on; if you want to make big money, cast a long line and let profits run slowly; if you keep being greedy for small gains, you will surely miss out on big market movements.

Those who can stand firm in the crypto space have all learned to give up the temptation of small fluctuations, focusing only on the higher levels and larger spaces, and only trading within their own rules.

In fact, the secret to success is very simple: cut off losses and let profits run.

If you don’t crave those small amounts of money, you won’t fall into the pit of large losses; if you walk this right path, compound interest will naturally come to you.

Moreover, compound interest is never a solo endeavor; it requires a group of people to remind each other to move forward — it doesn’t matter how fast I go; if we walk steadily together, we can go far @财神爷说币

After 8 years of struggling in the cryptocurrency world, I relied on a method that is 'stupid to the extreme',

from 50,000 to 30,000,000,

the more I progressed, the more I understood: the speed of making money and the number of operations are actually inversely related.

My advancement path is very clear, with nothing fancy:

The first stage went from 50,000 to 1,500,000, which took 2 years;

The second stage went from 1,500,000 to 8,000,000, which only took 1 year;

The third stage went from 8,000,000 to 30,000,000, which only took 5 months.

It's not that I'm lucky, but I focused solely on one N-shaped pattern throughout: a vertical rise, a diagonal pullback, and then a vertical breakthrough.

If the pattern is right, I enter the market; if it breaks support, I immediately cut my position, never averaging down or using leverage,

and I strictly set a 2% stop loss and a 10% take profit, executing without a single mistake.

Some people laugh at me for being 'too rigid':

How can you make big money without looking at moving averages, chasing hot topics, or listening to rumors?

But the fact is, those who stare at the market every day and operate frequently lose money even faster.

My market view is particularly clean, leaving only a light gray 20-day moving average, spending 5 minutes each day scanning through the 4-hour K-line:

If there is a matching N-shaped pattern, I enter with a stop loss; if not, I close the software, and spend the rest of my time with family, walking the dog, and drinking coffee, never wasting energy.

After making money, I didn't get carried away, but maintained my own rhythm:

When I reached 1,500,000, I first withdrew 50,000 in principal to save, so even if I lost later, I had a fallback;

When I reached 8,000,000, I withdrew half to buy stable funds and fixed deposits, leaving the other half to continue compounding in the cryptocurrency world.

Even if I encounter a market crash, my position remains steady as a rock, and I won't panic and cut losses like others.

Over these 8 years, I have summarized three iron rules:

Don't chase prices, only enter after the pattern is confirmed;

Don't hold positions, if it breaks, leave immediately, never rely on luck;

Don't cling to battles, once I earn enough to meet my target, I withdraw part of the money to pocket.

In fact, there is no 'holy grail of making money' in the cryptocurrency world; what is truly useful is the ability to filter out the restless 'stupid methods'.

If you can calm down and stick to the discipline, you will naturally retain your own profits.

Don't fantasize about getting rich overnight; just calculate:

As long as you steadily achieve 20 times a 10% profit, going from 50,000 to 10,000,000 is just a matter of time.

I have stumbled into many pitfalls in the cryptocurrency world, and now I share this 'stupid method' hoping that the next person illuminated by the market is you, who is persevering.

@财神爷说币

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