There is a 95% chance that US stocks will rise sharply in the coming months. To put it in perspective: most of the performance of the S&P 500 came from five major technology giants: Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Google and Nvidia. These five major technology stocks have risen 27% so far this year.

The S&P 495 index has risen 6% this year, while the S&P 500 equal weight index has risen only 5.6%.

Nevertheless, the first five months of the year have started well, and the second half of the remaining seven months will perform above average.

Since 1950, there have been 21 events in which the S&P 500 rose by more than 10% at the end of May.

Among them, the S&P 500 fell only twice in the rest of the year, in 1987 (-13%) and 1986 (-0.1%). #美股指数 #meme板块关注热点 #贝莱德IBIT比特币持有量反超灰度GBTC