Several topics and ideas worthy of attention
I think Russia is mining BTC. If the energy cannot be sold, the best way to monetize it is to mine BTC. BTC can now produce 6-7 BTC in 10 minutes, which is approximately equivalent to 200,000 US dollars. If a country’s energy cannot be sold, directly Switching to BTC is actually more profitable than selling energy. If BTC output is halved, the impact on Russia's energy realization may be greater than I imagined. The best time to end the war will be before the halving, and the war will start. For more than a year, the confidence to support the war is financial resources. I don’t know how much BTC accounts for Russia’s fiscal revenue. If it accounts for more than 10%, the financial impact will be very large, so the halving of BTC and the end of the Russia-Ukraine war may have a high impact. Correlation. If the Combo occurs, it will inevitably rise sharply.
If there is a big rise now, I estimate that Russia will have more money to fight and it will prolong the war, so the next big rise may be chaseable.