It is very difficult to catch the main uptrend of a certain B. Don’t be mythologized by others’ words such as “I called it at 0.0x, and now it has risen to 0.x”, and don’t believe others’ calls just because they have called one. You should look at the overall market, the hot spots of the sector, and whether a certain project has some logic that can withstand scrutiny. On the other hand, even if an unknown person can say that a certain project has a logic that can withstand scrutiny, you can ambush it when the price is right. 1. The overall market: the more bearish the market is, the lower the project price will be, and the more worthwhile it is to buy and wait for value discovery, because in bearish market the price has eliminated most of the optimistic factors. 2. Hot spots in the sector: whether it can be discovered by big funds on the chain (large degen) and let them carry the sedan chair. 3. Whether the project has some logic that can withstand scrutiny: if not, the project will most likely die when the overall market is bad. In order of importance, I think 3 (good logic) > 1 (good price) > 2 (wait for value discovery, others carry the sedan chair). Pay more attention to bloggers who tell you the investment logic of a project, and then combine your independent thinking to judge whether you should bet and how much you should bet. Finally, wait for the market to give you the answer. If you are wrong, you will lose money and correct it (improve your cognition). If you are right, you will make money. Time will tell.
