The US stock market is updating historical highs, but cryptocurrencies are losing momentum. BTC, ETH, XRP, and DOGE are in a sideways trend. The fear index VIX is rising by 6% — signaling a possible correction. The Fed's decision on the rate is in a day.
When stocks rise, and Bitcoin forms a doji — it's not just a pause. It's a premonition.
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S&P 500: 6,519 — fourth record in a row
Nasdaq and Dow — at historical peaks
Growth against the expectation of a 25 bps Fed rate cut.
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BTC: \$115,860 — doji candle, range \$114K–\$117K
ETH: pullback from \$4,800 to \$4,500
XRP: weak pullback to \$3.00 after triangle breakout
DOGE: drop from \$0.307 to \$0.267 — whale selling
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VIX: +6%, up to 15.68 — growth amid SPX records
BTC Volmex Index: +3% — correlation with VIX remains
Historical correlation SPX–VIX: -90 (gap = correction signal)
When stocks rise along with the VIX — it’s not euphoria, it’s a stretching of reality.
This is the moment when the market smiles, but fear has already awakened.
Cryptocurrencies are freezing not because they are weak — but because they sense the approach of a resolution.
BTC draws a doji — it’s not indecision, it’s a ritual of waiting.
ETH — like an 'internet bond' — is losing momentum, although the Fed's rate should enhance its attractiveness.
DOGE — a meme that feels the whales. XRP — a protocol waiting for confirmation.
VIX is not just an index. It’s the breath of collective doubt.
And if it rises against the records — it means the market is already looking for an exit.
Cryptocurrencies are losing momentum, VIX is rising, correction is possible.
This is not a decline, it’s a compression before an energy release.
The market is in a phase of 'quiet tension', where every tick is like a breath before a jump.
The next step is not just a Fed decision.
The next step is the synchronization of fear and hope, expressed in candles, indices, and memes.
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