I am Xuanji, I have been in the cryptocurrency industry for many years, and I will say one straightforward thing: the market is like an ant nest before a storm—calm on the surface, but already in chaos underneath! Tonight, the Senate vote on the nomination of Milan to the Federal Reserve Board is that cloud hanging over our heads. Once he takes office, this Tuesday's Federal Reserve meeting may have an additional 'hawkish piece', but what if he doesn't make it in time? Hey, the market has to keep guessing! The outcome of this 'Washington Fast and Furious' may directly determine whether Bitcoin rises to $130,000 or crashes back to $100,000!
Behind the suspense: The "emotional roller coaster" of retail traders is about to start!
The current market liquidity is like a tight rubber band—any slight movement in the Federal Reserve's policy will cause the cryptocurrency market to shake. If Milan takes office quickly, it may strengthen interest rate hike expectations, which is bearish in the short term; but if the process gets stuck, the market might breathe a sigh of relief and rebound. More importantly, retail trader sentiment: Most people are still oscillating between "FOMO chasing the rise" and "panicking to cut losses", while institutions have already set their positions, just waiting for the news to "harvest the leeks"!
Xuanji's Direction Judgment Today:
News: The voting results will impact the market with two waves at 5:30 AM and 8:00 AM Beijing time; beware of sudden fluctuations from early morning to the market opening!
Liquidity: USDT premium slightly drops, Asian funds are cautious, and the European and American markets may suddenly launch or crash.
Sentiment: The retail trader panic index is relatively high, but the holding amount of Bitcoin has not significantly decreased, indicating that the "whales" may be holding back a big move.
Retail trader operation logic: Survival is more important than making money!
Short-term traders:
Reduce positions before the early morning vote to avoid risks and prevent a "black swan" event from causing liquidation. If the result is favorable, decisively bottom out BTC/ETH; if bearish, the rebound is a shorting opportunity.
Focus on the US stock market opening; if US stocks plunge, the cryptocurrency market will find it hard to remain unaffected.
Mid-term layout traders:
Core logic: The Federal Reserve's policy shift is inevitable, but short-term panic crashes are diamonds! If it drops below 11,000, you can gradually buy spot, focusing on BTC, ETH, and resilient altcoins.
Survival Skills:
Don't bet on one side! Using 5% position for contracts is not as good as using 50% position to hold spot.
Learn "News Hedging": Open a small reverse position before voting; if it blows up, it won't hurt too much, and if it profits, you'll double your gains.
I am Xuanji, to put it bluntly: No matter how wonderful the Federal Reserve's performance is, it is just the "background music" of the cryptocurrency circle—short-term fluctuations are scary, but the foundation of the bull market remains unchanged! If retail traders want to thrive, they must learn to "listen to the play without getting involved": when the news blows up, you stock up; when the market is in a frenzy, you quietly take profits. If tonight a deep pit is created, don't hesitate, just bottom out!
Follow Xuanji, directly hitting the core news of the cryptocurrency circle, using straightforward language to help you cut through the chaotic market!#美联储降息预期升温
