🌍 4-Year Cycle – Why Does Crypto Always Have a "Coin Season"?
In the crypto market, people often mention the "4-year cycle" – where Bitcoin halving (reducing the block reward by half) becomes a milestone for a new growth season. It sounds simple, but there is an interesting story behind it.
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🔑 1. Halving – The Trigger of the Cycle
Every 4 years, the Bitcoin mining reward is halved. This significantly reduces the supply of new BTC, while demand tends to gradually increase over time → creating an imbalance between supply and demand.
📈 2. The Phases in a Cycle
• Year 1 (Post-Halving): Prices begin to stabilize, accumulating assets. This is a phase where many people feel frustrated, but the whales accumulate.
• Year 2: Prices gradually rise, BTC breaks the old high, leading to excitement. This is when altcoins start to explode.
• Year 3: The climax – the real "coin season". Not just BTC, but even junk coins rise wildly. Everyone feels like a genius investor.
• Year 4: The bubble deflates. The market undergoes a strong correction, entering the crypto winter, preparing for a new cycle.
🚀 3. Historical Evidence
• 2013: BTC rose from $12 to over $1,000.
• 2017: BTC went from $1,000 to $20,000, ETH from a few USD to $1,400.
• 2021: BTC reached nearly $69,000, followed by a series of altcoins hitting their peaks.
• 2025? A new cycle is coming – and everyone is waiting to see if history will repeat itself.
