🧨 What if this September was not the cursed month for crypto?
September has historically been a tricky month for the cryptocurrency market. Widespread declines often follow Bitcoin's behavior, the cryptocurrency with the largest market capitalization, dragging the rest of the ecosystem down with it. But this pattern is not limited to crypto: it also affects traditional markets, like the S&P 500, which measures the performance of the 500 most important companies in the U.S.
This year, however, there are signs that could break that curse.
🔍 Game-changing variables
Unlike previous years, this September arrives with new factors that could alter the bearish narrative:
🏦 Institutional adoption: Funds like BlackRock have propelled the creation of spot ETFs for BTC and ETH, marking a turning point in the legitimization of the crypto market.
📜 More friendly regulation: The regulatory environment has shown signs of openness, with political backing from figures like Donald Trump and the approval of the Genius Act.
⚖️ Legal victory for Ripple: XRP's triumph over the SEC set a precedent that is already bearing fruit. Currently, ETF applications for Solana are being developed, with a probability of approval exceeding 85% for this year.
🐋 Whales are already positioning themselves
According to Coinglass, open interest in ETH and Solana has increased, along with leveraged positions in futures. This reflects a clear expectation: the big players anticipate rises.
And it's not just theory: ETH, BTC, and Solana have already reached new highs this year, reinforcing the bullish narrative.
🧠 Why could this September not be red?
The key date is September 17, when Jerome Powell will announce the Fed's decision on interest rates. Bets on Polymarket indicate a high probability of a cut of at least 25 basis points.
📉 If this happens, investors could abandon traditional assets like bonds and stocks, seeking better returns in higher-risk markets like Bitcoin. But not necessarily by buying directly, rather through ETFs, which would also inject liquidity and upward pressure. The same applies for ETH and Solana.
🎯 In summary
This is just one possible scenario, but with a high probability of materializing. No one can predict the market, but we can read the signals, calculate probabilities, and act strategically.
What if this September, for the first time in years, was not the cursed month for crypto?
