Technical analysis in depth: Bulls are bluffing, trading volume exposes fatal flaws.
Key position gaming:
Current volatility range (199-201): Short-term balance between bulls and bears, but the key level of 203 above cannot break through with volume, indicating that the main force has no intention to genuinely push the market up.
Resistance and support: Heavy resistance at 208 above (Fibonacci 38.2% position), support at 194 below (Fibonacci 0% position). If it breaks below, it will trigger panic selling.
MACD 'false golden cross' hidden dangers:
Although the dead cross has turned into a golden cross (DIF: 0.76, DEA: 1.06), the MACD histogram is shrinking (0.59), and the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, indicating a typical 'weak rebound signal', with severe lack of bullish momentum!
The main force's orders hide secrets:
The order book shows a dense sell order around 201, while a 'large buy order' appears at 194, suspected to create a false support illusion by the main force, actually brewing a high position sell-off!
Net outflow of orders (-0.08%) confirms funds are quietly withdrawing, with obvious intentions to lure buyers.
[Market trend prediction: Two scripts, how should retail investors respond?]
Script one: Failure to lure buyers leads to a crash.
If the key level of 203 continues to bear pressure and volume shrinks, there is a high probability of a false breakout followed by a reverse sell-off, heading straight for the 194 support. Once it breaks below 194, there will be no safety to guard, and it could plunge below 190!
Script two: After a weak rebound, continue to strangle.
Even if there is a brief rise to 203-205, it will encounter short attacks at the 208 resistance level (large sell order at 208.84 in the order book), and the rebound is an opportunity to escape!
[Retail survival guide: Better to miss than to make a mistake!]**
Position holders: Decisively reduce positions around 203, must stop loss if it breaks 194!
Observers: Hold your hands! Do not chase after a breakout above 208 without seeing significant volume, wait for the result of the 194 test before taking action.
Radical: If it breaks below 194, consider a small short position, targeting below 190.
Iron Eagle warning: Don't be fooled by the false golden cross!
Currently, SOL is in a 'high-risk volatility zone', where the main force creates an illusion by repairing the technical aspect. Remember: a real bull market requires volume support, not deceptive indicators! If it can't hold above 203 tonight, it will be a celebration for the bears!
#现货黄金创历史新高
The Iron Eagle has taken off with the pink! Are you still 'waiting to observe'? Is the follow button welded shut? Have you woken up to the strong wind on the rooftop?
$SOL