⚡️ | On-chain data alert | Cycle inflection point layout guide | Retail survival manual

🔥 Core event summary

Glassnode on-chain confirmation: BTC, ETH, SOL long-term holders (holding >1 month) simultaneously create profit-taking peak——

  • BTC: $1.5 billion profit in a single day on July 18 (highest since December 2024)

  • ETH: $575 million profit in a single day on August 16 (largest selling pressure in this cycle)

  • SOL: $105 million profit in a single day on August 17 (highest since early 2025)

📊 Cycle position assessment

  1. Characteristics of the late stage of a bull market:

    • Long-term holders (LTH) profit realization rate >80% (historical top precursor)

    • Net inflow to the exchange surges (Binance BTC stock increases by 12% weekly)

  2. Risk indicator warning:

    • MVRV ratio exceeds 3.2 (BTC valuation enters a dangerous zone)

    • Stablecoin market cap growth slows (USDT circulation increases only 1.8% monthly)

🎯 Retail investor response strategy

  • Holders:

    • Reduce positions by 30%-50% for profitable positions (especially ALT tokens)

    • Swap profits to USDT/BUSD (annualized 8%+ flexible wealth management)

  • Observers:

    • Suspend dollar-cost averaging, retain 50% cash position

    • Wait for BTC to retrace to $95,000-$100,000 (200-day MA support) before averaging down

⚠️ Urgent reminder

  • Market volatility will surge before the September Federal Reserve meeting (VIX index increases by 35%)

  • Avoid leveraged long positions (liquidation heat map shows a $2 billion short-squeeze zone at $115,000)

📌 Follow Teacher Garry's exit guide

Real-time on-chain data monitoring | Whale address tracking | Bull-bear conversion signal warning
👉 Click to follow for (cost distribution chart) + (withdrawal route planning)
#Whales offloading #Cycle inflection point #Hedging strategy

(Today's 20:30 community live stream interpreting 'buying the dip after taking profits', students can DM for the password)
Original statement: Data integration from Glassnode + multi-dimensional verification on-chain and off-chain, refusing template analysis

💡 Extended thoughts:
If BTC can stabilize above $110,000 within a week, this round of profit-taking is merely a technical adjustment (refer to the December 2024 pattern). Otherwise, be wary of a 3-6 month intermediate correction, with a target support level of $82,000 (institutional dollar-cost averaging cost line).

#加密市场回调 @Square-Creator-782378b59f40