Current situation – August 18, 2025:
• Current price: around $4,320.8, which is down about 2.5% from the previous close.
• Levels of resistance and support:
• Strong resistance around $4,500.
• Key support at $4,200–$4,300.
• Liquidity on exchanges has reached a 9-year low, which is a strong indicator of investor accumulation amid increased long-term demand.
• Technical indicators (MACD, EMA, RSI) indicate a state of volatility and correction within the range of $4.2K–$4.8K.
Key factors (Fundamentals):
• Ethereum is in a rebound wave, seeking to catch up with Bitcoin after the latter's surge, with increasing institutional interest and rising assets under management.
• The passing of the Genius Act and easing of the regulatory environment around ETFs have contributed to strengthening positive forecasts.
• New flows from ETFs by major players like BlackRock and Fidelity provide additional momentum for institutional buying.
Price forecast – from today to tomorrow:
Short-term forecasts:
• CoinLore expects the price on August 19, 2025, to be around $4,339.
• Binance expects an increase of approximately 5% and for the price to reach around $4,384.7 tomorrow.
• CoinCheckup gives a comprehensive forecast of $4,409.9 tomorrow.
• Changelly sees the price rising by 2.8% to reach $4,653.6 on August 19, which is a more optimistic forecast.
Summary:
1- Source CoinLore, expected price for August 19, 2025 $4,339.
2- Source Binance, expected price for August 19, 2025 ~$4,384.7.
3- Source CoinCheckup, expected price for August 19, 2025 $4,409.9.
4- Source Changelly, expected price for August 19, 2025 $4,653.6.
Possible scenarios:
1. Bullish scenario (moderate):
• If ETH breaks the resistance level at $4,500 with strong technical support and institutional accumulation, we may see a rally towards $4,600–$4,700 in the coming days.
• Moving away from levels of pessimism (FUD) could trigger a sudden upward movement as it has happened before.
2. Sideways correction scenario:
• The price is likely to remain between $4,300 and $4,500 unless new stimulating factors emerge, such as regulatory announcements or significant cash flow.
3. Limited bearish scenario:
• In the event of a collective exit by speculators or selling pressure from staking withdrawals or others, the price may return to test support at $4,200, with some short-term losses possible.
Quick summary:
• Today: ETH is trading around $4,320–4,400, with technical support at $4,200 and resistance at $4,500.
• Tomorrow: the price is expected to register a slight increase to the range of $4,380–4,450, according to the average forecasts of Binance and CoinCheckup.
• If the resistance is broken, ETH may experience upward pressure towards $4,600+.
• However, risks remain, especially if current support is lost or sudden selling pressure occurs.
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