Current situation (August 17, 2025):
- Price: ~0.70–0.75 USD (based on data from CoinMarketCap, Binance, @cexscan).
- Context: AGLD is the native token of the Loot Project, a decentralized platform for NFTs and GameFi on Ethereum, launched in 2021. The token is used for voting, purchasing NFTs (Loot Bags), and in games on Loot Chain (L2). Market capitalization: ~54–58 million USD (ranking ~365–399). Trading volume: ~4.5–26.6 million USD/24h. Circulating supply: ~77.31 million AGLD, maximum: 96 million. The price has fallen ~70–78% from ATH (2.87–7.6 USD, September 2021) but has risen ~0.42–5.58% over 24h (@cexscan, @binance). Positive on X: launch of AdventureLayer, integration with NonBank, airdrop of 400 AGLD (@Cllaytus, @Kreig_DK). Criticism: volatility, regulation (@Greta0086).
Technical forecast for 2026 (based on analytics):
- Prices:
- Optimistic: 1.75–3.44 USD (growth of 150–360%) in a bullish market, with growth in GameFi and AdventureLayer.
- Neutral: 0.90–1.98 USD (growth of 20–180%).
- Pessimistic: 0.31–0.67 USD in case of correction or loss of interest.
- Levels:
- Support: 0.65–0.70 USD, 0.31–0.54 USD.
- Resistance: 0.94–1.09 USD, 1.75–2.30 USD.
- Trend: Mixed. The daily chart shows a bullish sentiment (RSI ~45–65, 50 MA above 200 MA), but the weekly RSI ~72.9 and a decline of ~3% over 24h signal overbought conditions (@cexscan, @CoinLore). A break of 1.09 USD could raise the price to 1.75–2.30 USD, a drop below 0.65 USD could drop it to 0.31 USD.
Fundamentals:
- Growth drivers:
- Ecosystem: AGLD supports Loot NFT (8,000 text-generated tokens) and Loot Chain (L2 for games). AdventureLayer (L2 for on-chain games) and airdrops enhance interest (@Kreig_DK, @Shafagh74). TVL ~$50–100 million.
- Partnerships: Binance, OKX, Bybit, Gate.io, MEXC, NonBank. Integration with Ethereum and Loot Chain.
- Tokenomics: 80% of tokens in circulation, unlocks until 2028. Staking and voting through AGLD.
- Community: Positive on X (@AdventureLayer, @kidaservices), expectations of growth to $2–5 (@CoinGainerAlert). Growth of GameFi (CAGR ~25% by 2030).
- Bitcoin halving (2024) and pro-crypto US policy (Trump, new SEC head) support the market (@99Bitcoins).
- Risks:
- Regulation: The SEC may classify AGLD as a security.
- Volatility: Low market cap (~54 million USD) is vulnerable to whales (@CoinGecko).
- Competition: Axie Infinity, Decentraland in GameFi.
- Pessimism: WalletInvestor and TradingBeast forecast $0.31–0.67 USD by 2026 (@swapspace).
- Unlocks: ~18.69 million tokens may pressure the price.
Recommendation:
- Investors: Buy on corrections down to 0.65–0.70 USD, stop below 0.31 USD. Target: 1.75–2.30 USD. Staking for income.
- Traders: Buy on a break of 1.09 USD, target 1.75–2.30 USD. Sell below 0.65 USD, target 0.31–0.54 USD.
- Risk: 0.5–1% of deposit due to volatility, regulatory risks, and competition.
Risks: Regulation, competition, unlocks, whale manipulations, decline in interest in GameFi, ETH drop.