After Last Night's CPI Data Release, September Rate Cut Expectations Strengthened. BTC Chose to Break Upward After a Month of Consolidation, Yesterday Reaching a Historical High of $124,400, but Quickly Retracing to $118,000. The Current Market Volatility Has Intensified, with Daily Fluctuations Reaching Thousands of Dollars, Investors Need to Adapt to This 'Whale Rhythm'.
(1)The Underlying Logic of New High Pullbacks
Each Adjustment After a New Historical High is Essentially a Market Chip Exchange:
Institutional Funds Continue to Increase Holdings (Validated by On-Chain Data)
ETF Retail Investors and Short-Term Funds Take Profit
ETH Also Follows the Classic Path of 'New High - Pullback - Breakthrough'
(2)Key Target Position Outlook
BTC is Approaching the Lower Bound of $128,000-$160,000 Predicted by the Author in July 2023, ETH is Just One Step Away from the Historical High of $4,868. Short-Term May Maintain Fluctuating Upward, but Gains May Gradually Narrow.
[The State of All Beings in the Second Half of the Bull Market]
The Current Market Shows a Typical 'Sweet Trouble':
Many Missed Opportunities: Over 60% of Investors Waiting for Deep Pullbacks in Vain
Institutional Strategies: ① High Price Replenishment (e.g. ETH Sellers at $3,000 Reclaiming at $3,600) ② Switching to Mainstream Altcoins (e.g. DOGE, LINK)
Altcoin Differentiation: Most Still in Value Pit, Focus on Quality Projects That Have Not Yet Started
(3)Altcoin Breakthrough Path
Top Student Route: Initiating Main Surge Early (e.g. OKB's Single-Day Surge of 200%)
Ordinary Student Route: Following the Market for Gradual Gains and Quickly Distributing, Focus on ETH Ecosystem L2 and Other Substantial Progress Sections
[Soul-Searching Question: Is It Too Late to Get Onboard Now?]
Best Strategy Trilogy:
Select Value Targets (Recommended Allocation Ratio: BTC 50% + ETH 30% + Altcoins 20%)
Gradual Position Building to Avoid FOMO
Reminder for Holding Until the Bull Market Peaks: This Bull Market 'Does Not Emphasize Martial Virtue', Q4 May Be the Last Comfortable Entry Point
[Key Information Overview]
Futu Launches SOL Trading, Traditional Financial Institutions Accelerate Entry
ETH Google Search Volume Breaks Record, Institutional Analysts Remain Optimistic
Vietnam Upbit is About to Launch, Expect Incremental Funds in Emerging Markets (Projected 10x User Growth by 2030)
[Operation Guide]
The Most Dangerous Operation Currently Is:
Waiting for Deep Pullbacks → May Miss the Entire Bull Market
The Most Secure Strategy Is:
Select Value Targets → Gradual Layout → Maintain Patience
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