Brothers, today I will only talk about one thing that can help you survive in the crypto world — MACD divergence. It’s the life-saving technique I dug out from the pile of corpses after three liquidations, losing 8 million. In 2021, when BTC soared to 69,000, I was fully leveraged and long, with a floating profit of 4 million. Everyone in the group was shouting 'Breaking 100,000', but I noticed that the MACD red energy bars were getting shorter and shorter — new price highs, but the bars were half as short. At 3 AM, I remembered the lesson from three years ago with ETH, gritted my teeth, and liquidated everything. The next day, BTC plummeted 58%, and the wails of those who were liquidated still resonate painfully today. This is called a top divergence: when the market makers are pushing prices up, the energy bars have already told you 'it's time to run', but most people are blinded by greed. When LUNA went to zero in 2023, the market was cursing 'Ponzi coins', but I saw something peculiar on the weekly chart: new price lows, yet the green energy bars were 60% shorter than last time when it dropped — this is a bottom divergence, implying it can't drop further, and the market makers are secretly accumulating. On-chain data showed that the giant whale 0x5f3 was continuously buying 20 million UST every day for three weeks. I built my position in three batches, weathered the panic period, and the next year, when the RWA concept took off, I earned back 3 million. Remember: top divergence is 'new price high + shrinking energy bars', and bottom divergence is 'new price low + shrinking energy bars'. Last year, when DOGE surged to 0.35, I saw the energy bars shrink to 30% of the previous high, and decisively liquidated, avoiding a 70% crash. Many people rush in at the golden cross; that's a way to get cut. When PEPE had its first daily golden cross in 2024, 20 million USDT was flowing in and out of OKEx's hot wallet, a typical trial run, and three days later it dropped 20%. The real opportunity lies in the second golden cross: when the MACD of the 30-minute and 4-hour lines cross together, and on-chain large transactions exceed three times the 24-hour average. Last year, when SOL broke 100 dollars, I waited for the second golden cross on the 4-hour line, and the trading volume exploded to five times the usual, increasing my position by 30%, and doubling my investment in 15 days. The eight-year iron law of bloody experience: three-cycle resonance (30 minutes for direction, 4 hours for strength, daily line locks trend); top divergence + net outflow from whales exceeding 5 million, cut directly; during bottom divergence, only take action when the contract long-short ratio is below 0.7. On the day I lost 8 million, I covered my room with K-lines, staring at 10 sets of divergence examples until I cried. Now I can feel the changes in the energy bars with my eyes closed; it’s muscle memory from being cut. MACD is the mirror of market makers. If you understand the expansion and contraction of the energy bars, you will know whether they are accumulating or distributing.
