Essential Cryptocurrency Contract Strategies
1. Trend Following: Catch the big moves and go with the trend
Core Logic: Utilize price trend inertia, enter the market after confirming an upward/downward trend, and profit from the continuation of the trend.
Entry Signal: Technical Aspect: EMA50 crosses above EMA200 (golden cross) and MACD red bars are increasing, confirming a medium to long-term upward trend; conversely, a death cross + increasing green bars indicates a bearish trend.
Auxiliary Validation: Price breaks through previous highs/lows + volume increases (30% higher than the average of the last 5 days) to avoid false breakouts. Position Management: Early trend (e.g., after a breakout and retest of moving average): position 5%-10%, leverage 10-20 times;
Trend Acceleration Phase (e.g., continuous bullish candles): increase position to 15%, leverage not exceeding 30 times to prevent excessive volatility.
Take Profit and Stop Loss: Set stop loss 2%-3% below the trend line/previous low, decisively exit on a breakout;
Take profit in stages: at target level (e.g., previous high) take profit 50%, remaining position set trailing stop loss (close position with a 10% profit drawdown). 2. Range Arbitrage: Sell high and buy low within the range, grid trading to reduce costs Core Logic: During price box oscillations, automatically buy and sell through pre-set grids to accumulate small price difference profits.
Grid Parameter Setting: Determine Range: Reference Bollinger Bands middle line (median) + upper and lower bands (volatility boundaries), or the high and low points of the previous 20 days as the oscillation range (e.g., ETH between $1800-$2200). Grid Density: High volatility (e.g., BTC single-day fluctuation >5%) set 5%-8% price difference, low volatility set 2%-3%, each grid position 1%-2% of account funds.
Practical Skills: Near the middle line (e.g., Bollinger Bands middle line) mainly long positions, reduce positions/short near the upper band, add positions/long near the lower band;
Combine funding rate to judge long and short strength: when the funding rate exceeds 0.03% for 3 consecutive hours (long positions paying interest), the win rate for shorting near the upper band is higher.
Risk Control: Reserve 20% of funds to respond to extreme breakouts, add 1x position on breaking the lower band, gradually close positions after rebounding to the middle line; pause trading during oscillations with reduced volume (trading volume <50% of the average of the last 10 days) to avoid transaction fees consuming profits.
The core of contract trading is "strategy + discipline": trend strategy captures major upward trends, oscillation strategy profits from volatility, arbitrage strategy earns from price differences, all operations must include stop loss and position control. Remember: 10 profitable trades do not equal 1 liquidation, prioritize survival ◇ then seek development. Start with a single strategy, practice until proficient, then combine for use, gradually forming your own trading system. $BTC #ETH突破4600