This is Bitcoin’s weekly chart, showing historical halving events in (orange lines) and cycle tops (blue lines). The red line is the 50-week moving average - a key long-term trend indicator.

When BTC breaks above it from below, it’s historically marked the start of a bull market.

When BTC breaks below it from above, it signals the start of a prolonged bear market.

Right now, the 50-week MA sits at $92,869. If BTC were to drop and close the weekly candle below this level, history suggests it would confirm a long-term trend reversal and the official start of a bear market.

Looking at past cycles:

▪️Cycle 1: 364 days from halving to peak

▪️Cycle 2: 518 days from halving to peak

▪️Cycle 3: 546 days from halving to peak

The pattern is clear:

▪️ Cycle tops tend to arrive about 1.5 years after the halving

▪️ Each cycle has stretched slightly longer than the last 👀

With the most recent halving in April 2024, repeating this pattern points to a likely cycle peak in October 2025 - giving us roughly 70 more days of potential bull market ahead.

BTC is now in its mid-to-late acceleration phase. If history rhymes, the final leg could deliver another +40% from current prices, putting a possible cycle peak in the $145K - $165K range before the BTC bear season kicks in. #bitcoin #liquidpump #pumpswap