*Analysis of U.S. inflation data (CPI) and its impact on financial markets*
Time: 12:30 GMT
Forecast: 2.8%
Today is not just an ordinary trading day — U.S. inflation data is the compass by which the Fed determines interest rate direction, which in turn moves the dollar, and consequently both the Forex and crypto markets.
📌 Possible scenarios: 🔺 If inflation comes in higher than 2.8%
Overall impact: Increased expectations for continued monetary policy tightening.
Forex: Strength in the dollar, downward pressure on Euro/Dollar, Pound/Dollar, and most major currency pairs.
Crypto: A strong dollar reduces risk appetite, leading to outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum towards safe assets.
🔻 If inflation comes in lower than 2.8%
Overall impact: Possibilities of monetary policy easing and increased liquidity.
Forex: Weakness in the dollar, rise in opposing currency pairs (EUR/USD, GBP/USD).
Crypto: Inflow of risk money, support for the rise of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies.
If inflation matches expectations (2.8%)
Overall impact: Initial movements may be limited but focus remains on the details.
Forex and crypto together: Any technical break at important levels could trigger strong movement in both markets.
💡 Advice for traders: Don't rush into the first movement after the news — it often turns out to be a trap.
Wait for confirmation before entering a large position.
Risk management is more important than quick profit, especially on major news days.$BTC
