#BTC走势分析 ,2025.08.11 8 PM

1. Overall Trend

Mid-term Trend: The 7EMA, 25EMA, and 99EMA are all aligned in a bullish arrangement, and the price has been consistently above the moving averages, indicating that the trend remains bullish.

Short-term Trend: The price recently surged near $122,450, followed by a noticeable bearish K-line with increased trading volume, indicating profit-taking in the short term.

2. Support and Resistance

First Support: $119,950-$120,000 (7EMA + previous small platform).

Second Support: $118,600 (previous consolidation platform).

Short-term Resistance: $122,450 (24h high).

If it breaks strongly above $122,450, the next target range is $124,000-$125,500.

3. Volume and Momentum

Increased volume rise → surge followed by increased volume drop → indicates significant short-term selling pressure, but the overall bullish sentiment has not completely retreated.

The MACD histogram is still in the positive zone, but the distance between DIF and DEA has slightly narrowed, indicating a possible short-term consolidation.

4. Trading Strategy

Long Strategy: If the price stabilizes around $119,950, consider small long positions, with a stop loss set below $118,500, targeting $122,400-$124,000.

Wait/Short Strategy: If the rebound cannot stabilize above $121,500, short positions could target $120,000-$118,600.

Currently in a short-term pullback phase within a bullish trend, chasing long positions carries high risk; it is safer to wait for support to stabilize before entering.