As Ethereum surpasses $4,200, the markets leave us historical clues worth analyzing. The question is inevitable:
Are we facing a new buying opportunity in Bitcoin and the SP500, or the beginning of a deeper correction?
🔹 Bitcoin: Massive sales and local bottoms
Historically, every time daily sales of BTC treasury funds exceeded 1,500 BTC, the price found a local bottom shortly after.
Today, that pattern is repeating itself: massive selling right at the dip.
Additionally, BlackRock's $IBIT ETF recorded sales at levels similar to those that, in the past, resulted in great buying opportunities.
📌 History shows that when ETFs signal fear, the more convinced investors tend to reap the rewards.
🔹 SP500: A dip with favorable statistics
The SP500 index closed below its 20-day moving average after a record streak of 68 consecutive sessions above.
Only on 8 occasions has such a long streak been seen:
In 7 of those 8 times, the SP500 rose in the following 12 months.
In the last 4 times, the increases were double digits.
On average, the subsequent gain was +10.8% in a year.
🤔 What does all this tell us?
The current dip could be:
An ideal moment to accumulate, according to historical patterns.
Or the beginning of a deeper decline, if the macro context and global liquidity deteriorate.
The final decision is in the hands of each investor, but the data suggests that history tends to reward those who take action in moments of fear.
📉💡 What do you think? Are you buying the dip or waiting for more signals?
#bitcoin #Ethereum #SP500 #CryptoTrading #BinanceSquareTalks
