If it weren't for the crypto market, I might still be working late at the office, being harassed by my boss and manipulated by clients. This market, where 'one day equals ten years in the human world', gave me the opportunity to turn my life around. From starting with 50,000 to now achieving financial freedom, I understand better than anyone: the opportunities in crypto, if missed, could mean a lifetime of regret.
In 2025, the fourth wave of the bull market has already begun; BTC has broken previous highs, altcoins are rallying, and secondary mainstream tokens are regaining vitality. All of this indicates that the next two years will be an unimaginably violent cycle. Today, I will share the core logic of crossing bull and bear markets, practical methods, and pitfalls without reservation. Seize this opportunity, and you can rewrite your life.
One, the core formula of bull and bear cycles: Capital < Chips < Consensus < Skills < Human Nature
This is the 'wealth code' I validated over ten years; understanding it means mastering the underlying logic of making money in crypto.
1. Capital: It’s not about having more; it’s about matching the strategy
Some people copy others' operations: with 100,000 trying to replicate 1,000,000; the result is that while others profit, they lose. The key is: capital size determines strategy—100,000 is suited for diversified layouts, while 1,000,000 needs to focus on core assets, and tens of millions should consider hedging risks.
The most taboo is 'leveraging when the market is good'; in 2021, I saw too many people using credit cards and online loans to trade tokens, ultimately leading to bankruptcy and debt. Remember: enter the market with spare money, and a single token position should never exceed 20% of your capital.
2. Chips: You can only win by buying the right ones
You can't just buy any token; find the ones that institutional investors are accumulating. The criteria are simple:
In the past 3 months, trading volume has been continuously increasing, but price fluctuations are minor (institutions are quietly building positions)
When sectors rotate, it always starts ahead of similar tokens
During pullbacks, the decline is smaller than the average of the sector (capital is clearly locked in)
Don't buy the 'hundred times token' recommended by others; 90% of the time, it means: if it rises, you can't hold it; if it falls, you can't bear to sell, and it finally becomes a 'love token'.
3. Consensus: The engine of a bull market
Retail investors and institutions reach 'bull market consensus' before a major market movement occurs every 4 years. The signals are already very clear now:
After BTC broke the previous high, institutional funds continued to enter
Long-dormant altcoins (like XRP, LTC) are starting to become active
Suddenly, more people around me are discussing trading tokens (even the aunties at the market are asking)
When consensus arrives, going with the trend can yield twice the result with half the effort; if consensus hasn’t arrived, even the best techniques struggle to make money.
4. Skills: The only way for beginners to overtake others
No one can rely on luck to make long-term profits in the crypto market. I spent 3 years honing my system, with the core being two points:
Able to read multi-timeframe K-lines (4 hours to set direction, 1 hour to find levels, 15 minutes to seize opportunities)
Able to identify signals of bull-bear transitions (such as MACD weekly golden cross, continuous increase in trading volume)
Don't believe the nonsense that 'you can make money without learning'; the wealth of crypto experts comes from time and tuition.
5. Human Nature: The final checkpoint
90% of people fall into 'Greed, Hatred, Ignorance, Sloth, Doubt':
Greed: After making 10%, wanting 20% leads to a rollercoaster ride
Hatred: Revenge trading after losses, leading to even greater losses
Doubt: Seeing an opportunity but not daring to act, then regretting when it rises
I’ve seen too many technically skilled people fail to make money; the problem lies in human nature. Those who consistently profit are the 'robots' who can control their emotions.
Two, multi-timeframe K-line method: Accurately grasp buy and sell points (5 years of practical skills)
1. 4 Hour K-line: Set direction (avoid 90% of mistakes)
Upward Trend: Highs and lows rise together → Only buy on pullbacks
Downward trend: Highs and lows lower together → Only short on rebounds
Sideways fluctuations: Absolutely do not operate (80% chance of being wrong)
Remember: The success rate of trading with the trend is three times that of trading against it; don’t go against the trend.
2. 1 Hour K-line: Find levels (improve entry accuracy)
Support level: Trend line, previous lows, near moving averages → potential buying points
Resistance Level: Previous highs, dense trading zones → potential selling points
For example, in a 4-hour upward trend of BTC, a 1-hour retracement to the 20-day moving average is a good opportunity.
3. 15 Minute K-line: Seize the opportunity (final signal to act)
Wait for signals like engulfing patterns, bottom divergences, or volume breakthroughs before acting
Wait if there is no signal; it's better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake
Combine strategies: 4-hour to set direction → 1-hour to outline range → 15-minute to pull the trigger; this combo has increased my win rate from 40% to 65%.
Three, 4 iron rules for beginners not to lose money (summarized from painful lessons)
1. Capital management: Surviving is the only chance
Leverage: Don’t touch it as a beginner, and don’t exceed 3 times as an expert
Single trade risk: Never exceed 2% of capital (for 100,000, the maximum loss is 2,000)
Stop-loss: 3% for short-term, 5% for medium-term; cut losses when the time is right, even if it's the wrong move
During the 2022 LUNA crash, I preserved 80% of my capital through strict stop-loss measures, which is my confidence to survive.
2. Trading system: Don’t trade 'wild orders'
Only take opportunities within the model (for example, I only trade the 4-hour trend + tokens with increased volume)
Clearly write down entry conditions (like 'breaking previous highs + trading volume increasing by 1.5 times')
Daily review: Which trades meet the system criteria, and which were impulsive actions
I have fine-tuned my system for 5 years, and now the trades that do not meet the system criteria do not exceed 3 per month.
3. Execution: More important than technique
When a black swan event occurs, accept it (like the 519 or LUNA incident), don't try to catch the bottom against the trend
Leave when you’ve made enough to meet expectations; don’t think about 'selling at the highest point'
Stop after two consecutive losses; a broken mentality can lead to loss of control
4. Avoid the three major pitfalls (90% of people are making these mistakes)
Following others’ signals can lead to death: when others call out signals, it might be their exit strategy
Emotional chaos: Sell when it drops, hold when it rises; doing the opposite is right
Position betting: A single token position over 50% is like handing over your life to the market
Four, strategies for winning in the 2025 bull market (practical tips)
1. Three axes of position management (even beginners can learn)
Divide funds into 3 parts:
First part: Buy when breaking the 5-day line
Second part: Buy when breaking the 15-day line
Third, buy when breaking the 30-day line
Sell the corresponding position if it falls below the corresponding moving average; strictly execute without hesitation.
2. Time windows for watching the market (each playing its role)
1 Minute Line: Accurately find entry points
3 Minute Line: Monitor fluctuations after entering the market
1 Hour Line: Judge the intraday trend
4 Hour Line: Determines the major direction
3. Trading volume secrets (to judge market authenticity)
In an uptrend, increased volume = true rise, decreased volume = needs to pull back
In a downtrend, increased volume = true drop, decreased volume = likely to find a bottom soon
In a sideways market, increased volume = change is coming, decreased volume = continue to wait
4. Choosing varieties in a bull market (rotation patterns)
Initial stage: BTC, ETH lead the rise (safety net)
Medium-term: Mainstream tokens (BNB, SOL, etc.) following the trend (profit from swings)
Later stage: Altcoins catching up (quick in and out, don’t be greedy)
Five, a message for those over 30 who want to turn their lives around
If you don’t have a stable job, the crypto market could be the best opportunity in the next 5 years. But remember:
Don’t trade with living expenses; pressure will lead to chaotic operations
Paid learning saves more money than trial and error (my tuition exceeded 1 million)
Money made in a bull market should be withdrawn promptly; cash in is safety
The violent bull market of 2025-2026 may be the last opportunity for many to change their fate. My journey from 50,000 to tens of millions proves: the crypto market does not believe in luck, only in knowledge and discipline.
Understanding this article may not make you rich, but it can save you 5 years of detours. The bull market is here; don’t just be a spectator—this time, it’s your turn to enter.
Blindly trading on your own will never bring opportunities; pay attention to Super Brother, and I will lead you to explore tenfold potential tokens! Top-level resources!
