From 50,000 to tens of millions now. I also achieved a class leap and financial freedom through currency speculation! If there was no opportunity in the crypto circle, I might still be working overtime in a certain company and being given a hard time by my boss at every turn. Or be embarrassed by customers! I have this opportunity to turn around in my life. How many people can only watch this opportunity pass by in their lives! Or there is none at all! One day in the crypto circle is ten years in the world.
This is not said in vain. "The crypto circle is a place that easily makes people have faith."
The year 2025 will start a violent bull market ahead of schedule, and 2025-2026 will be very violent and unimaginable!!
The essential formula for the fourth bull market in the crypto circle: Principal > Chips > Consensus > Technology > Human Nature.
The number and popularity of people paying attention to the fourth bull market in the crypto circle recently are very high.
The reason why it can resonate with most people in the market is actually very simple.
It's all because BTC broke the previous high, and secondly, the altcoins began to collectively pull the market.
In addition, many long-sealed sub-mainstream currencies have been restored: vitality.
Taking advantage of the market's popularity, I will share a formula that is extremely important in the crypto circle.
Principal < Chips < Consensus < Technology < Human Nature; this is the most core thing that runs through the bull and bear cycle of the crypto circle.
If you can understand the relationship through this article today.
Then congratulations, you already have the correct investment thinking and concept.
Then your subsequent currency speculation process will definitely be twice the result with half the effort.
First, let's talk about the first point: principal.
This is easy to understand, it's the existing amount you invested; this value will change
Because most people invest after seeing the market is good, they will start all kinds of brushing and borrowing.
This varies from person to person, but the amount of money and the investment strategy used are completely different.
Many people lose money because they ignore the importance of position management.
The object you refer to sometimes has a principal that is dozens of times yours.
But you also completely copy other people's entry methods.
In the end, others make money, but you lose money.
Most people think that they lose money because they don't understand technology, but it's actually because they don't understand position management.
Second point: chips.
Chips refer to: currencies, which in the crypto circle refer to coins.
Only by buying coins can results of earning and losing be created.
One thing that must be clear in the crypto circle is: to make money, you need to buy the right chips.
To increase the probability of making money, you need to buy coins that the main force is heavily accumulating.
Instead of relying on feeling, buying some coins that others recommend at will without careful selection.
The reason why I don't recommend everyone to speculate on currencies in this way is very simple.
First, you can't hold on to gains; second, you start to fall in love when it falls.
Third point: consensus.
The consensus here specifically refers to: bull and bear cycles.
Many people think that consensus refers to the number of currency holding addresses, which is part of it.
But what I want to say today is that what is related to ordinary people like us is the consensus of the bull and bear market.
Only when retail investors and main forces reach a consensus on the big bull market and buy crazily.
Can brew a bull market cycle of 4 years in the crypto circle.
So this consensus is more important than the previous two.
Only when the trend comes, you can do things with half the effort and everything will fall into place.
Fourth point: technology.
Technology refers to: the ability to identify bull and bear cycles.
This is the only way for Xiaobai to overtake on a curve.
Don't ever think that you can take money away from the crypto circle without learning, without paying, or without working hard.
In the long river of history, no one can take money away from the crypto circle by luck.
People who can really make money and keep it.
All of them spent time, energy, and resources to finally summarize a set of systems that belong to them.
As long as you take the time to check, you can get the answer from the big guys in the crypto circle.
Fifth point: human nature.
This is the last pass that really determines whether you can make money.
Countless people have fallen on the human nature of: greed, anger, ignorance, slowness, doubt, and present.
Many people fall in the bull market and the bear market again and again.
In fact, the most terrible thing is: the lack of understanding of human nature.
They are always trying to find shortcuts, find methods, and find principal.
But there has never been a deep thinking and summary.
Ask yourself if you are satisfied with the current results? Are you really sure about the future bull market?
Many people think that I have been talking about dry goods and want to know the buying and selling points.
Little do you know that this only satisfies your inner desire to earn: unearned greed.
This will only take you further and further down the wrong path.
I have been sharing these investment ideas, correct concepts, and experiences.
The purpose is to reveal the truth about making money.
The money you can see is small money. Only by cultivating your inner self to be valuable can you become the owner of wealth.
Today I tell you the secret of crossing the bull and bear cycle: Principal < Chips < Consensus < Technology < Human Nature.
Why do you need to look at 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute K-lines when speculating on currencies?
Many people repeatedly step into pits in the crypto circle, and the problem lies in only staring at one cycle.
Today I will talk about the multi-cycle K-line trading method that I often use. In three simple steps, you can grasp the direction, find the point, and time the opportunity.
First, 4-hour K-line: Determine the general direction of whether you go long or short.
This cycle is long enough to filter out short-term noise and clearly see the trend:
• Uprising: Highs and lows move up at the same time → Buy on dips on pullbacks.
• Downtrend: Highs and lows decrease simultaneously → Sell short on rebounds.
• Horizontal oscillation: The price repeatedly fluctuates in the box, which is easy to slap in the face repeatedly, so it is not recommended to operate frequently.
Remember a sentence: there is a chance of winning if you go with the trend, and you will only give money if you go against the trend.
Second, 1-hour K-line: used to draw intervals and find key positions.
When the general trend is determined, the 1-hour chart can help you find support/resistance:
• Approaching trend lines, moving averages, and previous lows are potential entry points.
• If you are approaching the previous high, important resistance, or a top pattern appears, you should consider taking profit or reducing your position.
Third, 15-minute K-line: Only do the final "shooting action".
This cycle is specifically used to find entry opportunities, not to look at trends:
• Wait for small cycle reversal signals (engulfing, bottom divergence, golden cross) to appear at key price levels before taking action.
• The trading volume is released, and the breakthrough is reliable, otherwise it is easy to fake.
How to cooperate with multiple cycles?
1. First determine the direction: use the 4-hour chart to choose whether to go long or short.
2. Find the entry area: use the 1-hour chart to circle the support or resistance area.
3. Precise entry: use the 15-minute chart to find the signal for the last kick.
A few additional points:
• If several cycle directions conflict, it is better to stay on the sidelines and not make uncertain orders.
• Small cycle fluctuates quickly, be sure to bring a stop loss to prevent being swept away repeatedly.
• It is much better to cooperate with the trend + position + timing than to stare at the chart and guess blindly.
I have used this set of multi-cycle K-line method for more than 5 years, which is a stable output configuration. Whether you can use it well depends on whether you are willing to look at more charts and summarize more.
How can I not lose money when entering the crypto circle?
In 2025, the most frequently asked question was: "Teacher Qingtian, I am in my 30s. As a Xiaobai, is the crypto circle really suitable for me if I want to make a comeback?" My answer to him was: If you don't have a special skill or an iron rice bowl, then the crypto circle may be the best opportunity for you in the next 5 years!
I think this question is also bothering many brothers in the encryption circle +. Next, I will combine my own and some successful big guys in the currency circle to share a few suggestions to everyone.
1. Capital management must pass the test. 0-100x leverage, short-term loss is inevitable, and the single risk level should generally not exceed 2%-3%, and aggressive players should be 5%8%. If the risk level exceeds 8%10%, the drawdown in the unfavorable period will reach 70%, and the general person's mentality collapse point is around 50%. Capital management must be strictly implemented. Many people like to do 5x, 10x, and the level is above 4h. The stop loss level above 4h is generally 5%-15%, and the single risk level has reached 25%. Doing this is undoubtedly looking for death. To ensure the risk level and ensure that high leverage is opened, the level must be sunk to 1 hour, 15 minutes, or 5 minutes. The smaller the level, the fewer players can control it. Generally, 1h-4h is the limit for general players to control, 5-15 minutes is what professional players can control, and general professional players cannot control the 1-minute level.
2. The transaction system + must pass the test. And honing the transaction system requires the accumulation of long-term transaction experience. The sign of successful running-in is that it does not do out-of-mode, and the conditions are clearly defined. In this process, continuous iteration is required, experiencing the baptism of bull-bear volatile markets and mainstream cottage markets. Due to leveraged transactions, t+0, and frequent transactions, 90% of tuition fees need to be prepared. Many people come up and play with hundreds of thousands of yuan. You need to understand one thing, no matter how much starting capital you have, it is only enough to pay tuition fees once, and there are 8 times behind. Therefore, it is necessary to do it with small funds, a few hundred or a few thousand is fine, and don't add funds if you make a profit. Withdraw the profit and continue to do it with small funds. At the beginning, the system and operation will not be particularly pure, and many mistakes and redundant actions cannot be avoided. Many posts say how much they lost. In my opinion, such losses are meaningless. They just paid tuition fees once, and they didn't even touch the door. The learning curve didn't go up, and there was no difference from gambling.
3. The execution must pass the test. Similar to 519 last year, one wrong direction will be ruined. No matter how much money you earn in front, it will be 0 if you don't survive similar black swans. Strict stop loss is not to mention, more people who are liquidated are those who copy the bottom against the trend. Similar to the recent luna+, they are also liquidated by copying the bottom against the trend. Don't bet on small probability events, and don't try to accomplish everything in one battle.
4. Time and experience accumulation. A round of bull-bear volatile market requires familiarity with the characteristics of varieties in different stages and adjustment of strategies according to market conditions.
1. Following orders in a mass burial ground: Seeing some bloggers or communities calling out "pull the market immediately" and going all in? Especially for coins on the chain, do you know that the big guys may have been lying in ambush in advance, just waiting for you to take over? All gains come from planning ahead. If you wait until the price has risen very high before calling you to enter the market, then basically they are not well-intentioned.
2. Emotional roller coaster: Start to fear when the price falls, and then cut the meat. When the price rises, hold on to it, thinking about getting rich in one wave? When the market reverses, you must leave the market without hesitation and don't have any fluke mentality. When buying vegetables, you still know how to bargain, knowing to buy cheaper, and not buying when the price is high, but it is not the case when buying coins. You don't dare to buy when the price is low, but you rush in without thinking when the price rises.
3. Playing with fire in position: Put all the money on one coin? Remember this sentence: divide the eggs into baskets, and the wallet can be full. The crypto circle is a block rotation, and the same block also has a sequence of pulling the market. Position management is a more important strategy.
A coin should be entered at least 3 times, when it bottoms out, when it is confirmed to have bottomed out (that is, right-side entry), and when it breaks through the bottom and rises and then steps back on important support.
Being able to avoid the above three points can increase the probability of making money by 50% in the trading process.
It is the consensus of old players to speculate on altcoins in bull markets and hoard BTC/ETH in bear markets. But judging from this round, the eldest brother is really always your eldest brother.
Long-term adherence to learning can greatly improve your mentality. Paid learning can help you avoid detours and also mobilize your learning enthusiasm. This cost is much lower than the cost of your liquidation, but try not to learn contracts!
Below I will share my winning rules and practical skills for currency speculation:
1. Gain insight into market popularity and sentiment: Trading volume is an important window for observing the market. When the trading volume increases significantly, but the price does not fall, this is often a signal that the market is about to stop falling and stabilize; conversely, if the trading volume increases, but the price is difficult to continue to rise, this is likely to mean that the short-term market has come to an end.
It should be noted that the trading volume has different performance rules in the process of rising and falling. In the rising stage, the trading volume should continue to increase steadily. If the trading volume suddenly decreases, or an abnormally huge trading volume occurs, this may indicate that the rising market is about to end. In the process of falling, as long as the volume increases when some key positions are broken, the downward trend is likely to continue.
2. Pay attention to key points: key points such as pressure levels, support levels, and trend lines play an important role in indicating market trends. Whenever the price runs to these positions, you need to pay special attention and take decisive action. I personally prefer to use the golden section method to predict these key points to assist my trading decisions.
3. Grasp the time window: When looking at the market, different time windows have different functions. The one-minute line is suitable for accurately finding entry and exit opportunities; the three-minute line helps to monitor the wave trend after entry; the half-hour line or one-hour line is mainly used to observe changes in the intraday trend. By rationally using these time windows, you can more comprehensively and accurately grasp market dynamics.
4. Treat stop-loss correctly: Stop-loss means the end of a transaction, and you must not act blindly out of eagerness to recover the loss. Every new transaction is a brand new beginning. Don't let previous operations affect your current judgment and decision-making. Staying calm and rational can better cope with various changes in the market.
5. Clever position management and buying and selling strategies: This is a simple but very effective method that novices can easily learn and profit from. We divide the position into three equal parts. When the currency price successfully breaks through the 5-day moving average, buy one part; if it continues to break through the 15-day moving average, buy another part; if it can further break through the 30-day moving average, buy the last part. The whole process must be strictly implemented according to this rule. If the currency price breaks through the 5-day moving average and is unable to continue to hit the 15-day moving average, but falls instead, but as long as it does not fall below the 5-day moving average, keep the position unchanged; once it falls below the 5-day moving average, sell immediately.
Similarly, when the currency price breaks through the 15-day moving average, if it fails to continue to break through the 30-day moving average and falls back, continue to hold as long as it does not fall below the 15-day moving average; if it falls below the 15-day moving average, sell one part first. If the currency price successfully breaks through the 30-day moving average and then falls back, operate in the same way as above. When shipping, the operation is reversed. When the currency price is at a high level, once it falls below the 5-day moving average, sell one part first; if the price does not continue to fall, keep the remaining position. If the currency price falls below the 5-day, 15-day, and 30-day moving averages in sequence, sell all of them without hesitation and don't be lucky enough to think that the price can rise again.
Although this method seems simple, the key is whether you can always adhere to its implementation. Once purchased, the buying and selling rules are determined, and you must strictly operate in accordance with the established rules, so that you can obtain relatively stable returns in the risky market of the crypto circle.