First, the conclusion: Making money in the short term is a fairy tale; making money in the long term is the reality.

1. Those deceptive 'get-rich formulas'.
"Earn 1% daily, multiply by 37 in a year."
"Catch limit-up stocks weekly, turn 100,000 into 17 million."
Such nonsense is as ridiculous as saying, "Grow 1mm taller every day, and you can touch the moon next year."

I’ve seen the most outrageous cases:
In 2008, a guy turned 40,000 yuan into 20 million by trading soybean oil.
What happened? He couldn't stop, ended up with nothing.
(The cruel truth of this industry: Money earned by luck will ultimately be lost through skill.)


2. The 'invisible killer' of short-term trading.
What you think of as short-term:
"Make 300 today, 500 tomorrow".
What short-term trading actually is:

  1. Fees are secretly eating your principal.

  • Trading rebar 10 times a day? You lose 200% of your principal in fees over a year.

  • Trading stocks twice a week? You lose 50% of your principal in a year.

  1. Your opponent is not the big player; it's mathematics.
    As long as the winning rate isn't 100%, frequent trading is chronic suicide.
    (Those high-frequency trades at Goldman? Their equipment costs millions of dollars, and their fees are still 0.)

3. Why do big players prefer long-term investments?
It's not because they have a lot of money.
It's because they understand:

  1. Long-term trading doesn't require daily monitoring, saving on fees.

  2. Catching one major trend is worth more than 100 short-term trades.

  3. The most important thing is—no need to live daily in anxiety of 'missing out' or 'being trapped'.

4. True free traders.

A day in their life:
9:30 Wake up naturally.
10:00 Drink coffee and watch the market.
11:00 Decide whether to trade today.
(Most of the time the answer is 'no'.)
Afternoon? Do whatever you want.


And short-term traders:
Wake up at 6 AM to watch the foreign market.
Start getting anxious at 9:15.
Review trades until late at night.
Still have to study strategies on weekends.
(The little money they make isn’t enough to see a psychologist.)

Lastly, let me be honest:
What’s most valuable in this industry is not the technique.
It’s knowing when to just sit still.

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