Don’t panic! The altcoin season in the second half of 2025 is going to explode, with 6 hard-core logics to tell you the answer!
1️⃣ Market sentiment: the cycle is an iron law that cannot be changed by anyone.
Old players understand that the script for each bull market has never changed:
- Step one, the big coin sets the tone.
- Step two, ETH relay expansion.
- Step three, let funds overflow into altcoins.
This is not about who is controlling the market; it's an inevitable result of human greed + market consensus. As long as there are people wanting to make quick money, as long as the bull market cycle is not over, altcoin season will definitely come. The game of fear and greed has been played for ten years and will continue.
2️⃣ Capital rules: capital always runs towards 'fat meat.'
Currently, the valuations of Bitcoin and Ethereum are no longer low. To pull them up by 50% again, how much capital would be needed? But altcoins are different; with smaller market caps and lighter weights, even a small amount of capital can lead to significant gains.
The nature of capital is to favor the rich — when the return rate of mainstream coins declines, large funds will definitely turn towards altcoins that can double in the short term. This is not speculation; it's an iron law that has not changed in hundreds of years in financial markets.
3️⃣ Technical hotspots: The second half of the year is full of 'explosion points.'
Every round of altcoin surges relies on new concepts for support. This year’s second half is overflowing with hot topics:
- The wave of high-performance public chains coming into play.
- Large-scale application of Layer2 expansion plans.
- Killer applications of AI + blockchain.
- The Web3 ecosystem has truly begun to 'be usable.'
The altcoins hidden in these fields are the cradle of the next batch of hundredfold coins. Capital always chases new stories; if you don’t stake out ahead of time, you can only kick yourself when it takes off.
4️⃣ Chip distribution: the main force has already secretly entered the market.
Don't just look at K-line fluctuations; check the chip data! Now many quality altcoins have reached historically high concentration levels — especially with new public chains and innovative tracks, large funds have secretly accumulated enough while waiting for corrections.
Once the main force has positioned, they are just waiting for a signal. Once market sentiment rises, a gentle pull can ignite the market. Those who are still hesitating now should be careful not to become the last ones left holding the bag.
5️⃣ Macroeconomic environment: the Fed is 'sending water' to altcoins.
The Fed's rate-cutting cycle is becoming increasingly clear, and central banks worldwide are flooding liquidity. In such times, capital will rush towards high-risk, high-return areas — and altcoins are the 'wildest' piece of fat in the crypto market.
A loose money supply is the best catalyst for altcoin seasons. Are you sure you want to miss out on this wave of liquidity benefits?
6️⃣ Institutions have entered: paving a 'safety cushion' for altcoins.
Recently, inflows into Ethereum ETFs have set records, and traditional giants are frantically laying out their crypto ecosystems. Don’t think that institutions only buy mainstream coins; the confidence and capital they bring will eventually seep into quality altcoins.
With institutional money coming in, market stability increases, and the speculation on altcoins gains more confidence. This wave isn’t just small funds messing around; it’s underpinned by real money.
Let’s talk practical: how to operate?
1. Be patient: Don’t let short-term fluctuations wash you out; wait for capital to rotate into altcoins before taking action.
2. Focus on hot spots: high-performance public chains, Layer2, AI + Web3, these are the key tracks to watch.
3. Flexible position adjustments: regularly review and decisively change what doesn't meet expectations; don't get attached to battles.
4. Control positions: high returns = high risks, never go all in on one coin.
Opportunities and risks coexist, but the benefits of altcoin seasons have always been reserved for those who are prepared.
The precondition for altcoin rises is: Bitcoin must rise first, until it can no longer rise, and capital is willing to move out of Bitcoin to purchase altcoins.
Here are several possible situations and strategies:
Situation 1: BTC and altcoins generally rise. In 2025, it continues to rise, then enters altcoin season. As BTC continues to rise, all tokens perform well, repeating the growth of the past two months (30-40% possibility).
Strategy: choose outstanding altcoins to buy on dips.
Situation 2: BTC rises, altcoins rise less; fluctuations are expected in the coming months, but overall outlook is bullish (because BTC is rising). It is recommended to select tokens that perform well (50-60% possibility).
Strategy: buy selected altcoins on dips. Avoid high-profile tracks and find the next 'wealth coin.'
Situation 3: BTC rises while altcoins generally fall (20-30% possibility).
Strategy: Sell all altcoins. Reduce investment in altcoins; if the altcoins you hold have not risen for a long time, you might have to sell all of them.
Situation 4: BTC declines, altcoins generally decline. Everything reaches a peak (10-20% possibility).
Given the positive impact of the macro environment, it is expected that the breakthrough of the new Bitcoin all-time high (ATH) will not take as long as in 2024. In this year's extremely challenging summer, despite the recent ETF launch, the traditional financial sector is still struggling to promote the value of Bitcoin to clients. Importantly, the market was generally skeptical about the importance of Bitcoin at that time.
Now, with Trump's victory, discussions about establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve are gradually unfolding. Although the actual establishment of such a reserve is unlikely, the market evaluation of Bitcoin has already changed significantly.
The key lies in the narrative — in fact, the current new regime has brought new focus to the digital asset domain, and the next U.S. president frequently mentions Bitcoin, making it easier to persuade people to buy Bitcoin.
This regime change is significant. Therefore, it is expected that Bitcoin (BTC) will continue to show an upward trend in 2025. The situation for altcoins is similar but with some differences.
Total3 (the total market capitalization trend of all altcoins) reached a historical high in the first quarter of 2024, the highest since 2021, and peaked within the cycle in the fourth quarter of the same year. Its performance roughly followed the patterns of situations 1 and 2 mentioned earlier, with no significant differences between the two.
The key lies in correct positioning and timing. Although I am optimistic about the prospects for 2025, the specific time required remains uncertain. While I expect the rise in 2025 to come earlier than in 2024, without catalysts, altcoins may still experience significant declines.
As long as the market cycle has not ended, whether it's Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies, one should maintain a bullish stance. By 2025, it is unlikely that we will see the same kind of volatility increase as in the summer of 2024; even if we encounter a relatively stable period, prices will maintain a high level.
However, from on-chain data, the situation appears different. Once market sentiment changes, many altcoins may face price drops of up to 70%. Based on this observation, it is expected that altcoins have not yet reached their peak, as it is hard to imagine Bitcoin rising to new highs without altcoin support.
Conclusion:
• BTC rises, with growth exceeding that of 2024.
• Altcoins are on the rise; although there will be declines, the intensity will not be as strong as in 2024.
Making 1 million in crypto means 'either rely on a big bull market + holding, or rely on hitting the right coin for wealth, or rely on high leverage betting in the right direction.' But most people lose money, so don’t just look at the wealth stories; first, think clearly about how much risk you can bear.
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There’s a term in the crypto world that is often mythologized — 'rolling.' Some say it’s a 'wealth accelerator,' turning 50,000 into a million; others criticize it as a 'liquidation catalyst,' turning 100,000 to zero in days. In fact, rolling is neither mysterious nor evil, just like driving: following the rules can lead you safely to your destination, while reckless steering will only lead to disaster.
If you only have 5000 yuan in principal and want to reach the million threshold through rolling, this article will break down the specific path — not relying on luck, but on a combination of 'adding positions with unrealized gains + low leverage + iron discipline,' with each step having replicable operational details.
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1. First understand: rolling is not 'betting on size with leverage,' but 'rolling the snowball with profits.'
Many people misunderstand rolling as 'fully leveraged aggressive trading'; this is a fatal misconception. The core of true rolling is encapsulated in eight words: increase position with unrealized gains, lock in risks.
Simply put: use profits earned from the principal to expand your position while keeping the principal safe. It's like rolling a snowball; first push it with your hands (the principal) to get it moving, and once it has inertia (with unrealized gains), let the snow (profits) stick to it, making the snowball grow larger without your hands (the principal) ever getting caught up.
For example:
With a principal of 5000 yuan and 10x leverage rolling mode, only 10% of the funds (500 yuan) are used as margin for opening trades, equivalent to actually using 1x leverage (500 yuan × 10 times = 5000 yuan position, equal to the principal). Set a 2% stop-loss, with a maximum loss of 100 yuan (5000 yuan × 2%), which has minimal impact on the principal.
If you make 10% (500 yuan), the total capital becomes 5500 yuan. Then take another 10% (550 yuan) to open a position, still at 1x leverage, with a stop-loss of 2% (losing 110 yuan). Even if this stop-loss occurs, the total capital would still be 5500 - 110 = 5390 yuan, which is still 390 yuan more than the initial.
This is the underlying logic of rolling: use profits to bear risks, keeping the principal always safe. High leverage and using principal to increase positions is 'pseudo-rolling,' essentially gambling that will eventually lead to liquidation.
2. Three life-and-death lines of rolling: stepping on one can turn 5,000 into a million.
The key to rolling is not 'making money quickly,' but 'surviving longer.' I have seen cases where 5000 yuan rolled to 800,000, and I have also seen tragedies where 100,000 turned negative; the core difference lies in three disciplines.
1. Leverage must be 'ridiculously low': 3x is the upper limit; 1-2x is more prudent.
'The higher the leverage, the faster the profits' — this is the pit that beginners are most likely to fall into. In 2022, I saw a retail investor use 20x leverage with a principal of 5000 yuan for rolling. They made 3000 yuan the first time, but after adding to their position the second time, they encountered a flash crash and were directly liquidated.
Remember: rolling relies on 'compounding by frequency,' not 'one-time high profits.' 3x leverage means '33% volatility before liquidation,' combined with a 2% stop-loss, allowing for a large margin of error; whereas 10x leverage can trigger a forced liquidation with just 10% volatility, which cannot withstand the normal fluctuations in the crypto market.
My advice: in the early stages, use 1-2x leverage. After achieving 5 consecutive profits and stabilizing your mindset, then raise it to 3x, and never go beyond 5x.
2. Adding positions can only use 'unrealized profits': the principal is the bottom line and must not be touched.
The essence of rolling is 'making money with market money.' For example, with a principal of 5000 yuan, the first profit is 1000 yuan, making total capital 6000 yuan. At this point, you can use at most 1000 yuan of unrealized gains to increase your position, and the principal of 5000 yuan must not be touched.
This way, even if you add to a losing position, you only lose unrealized gains, keeping the principal safe. Conversely, if you invest all 5000 yuan in one go, a single mistake can bring you back to square one, wasting all previous efforts.
Just like fishermen fishing: use the fish you caught as bait. Even if you don't catch new fish, you won't lose your boat.
3. Stop-loss must be 'ironclad and cold-blooded': 2% is the red line, cut losses when the time is up.
“Wait a bit longer, maybe it will bounce back” — This statement can ruin all rolling plans. When rolling, a single stop-loss must be strictly controlled within 2% of the total capital; for a 5000 yuan principal, that means 100 yuan, and for a 100,000 yuan principal, it's 2000 yuan. Cut losses immediately when the time comes, without any excuses.
In 2023, Bitcoin rose from 30,000 to 40,000. I rolled with 1x leverage, had 3 stop losses in between, losing 1,000-2,000 each time, but ultimately 6 profitable trades multiplied the total capital by 3. If I had held onto a single position during one of those losses, I might have been washed out by the fluctuations and missed the subsequent main upward wave.
3. From 5,000 to 1 million: rolling in 3 stages, each step with specific operations.
To roll from 5000 yuan to 1 million requires a phased approach, with different targets and strategies for each stage. It's like climbing stairs; skipping three steps at once can be fatal; taking one step at a time is how to reach the top.
Stage one: 5,000 → 50,000 (accumulate starting funds, practice your feel).
Core objective: familiarize yourself with the rhythm using spot + small leverage, accumulating your first 'stress-free funds.'
First, use 5000 yuan for spot trading: buy BTC and ETH at the bear market lows (for instance, when BTC drops to 16,000 in 2023), sell after a 10%-20% rebound, repeating 3-5 times, rolling the funds to 20,000.
Join 1x leverage rolling: When BTC breaks through critical resistance levels (like 20,000, 30,000), use 1x leverage to go long. When you earn 10%, increase your position by 10% using unrealized gains, with a stop-loss of 2%. For example, with a 20,000 yuan principal, initially open a position of 2000 yuan, and after earning 200 yuan, add another 200 yuan to the position, keeping the total position below 10% of the principal.
Key: at this stage, do not pursue speed, focus on practicing 'stop-loss + adding positions with unrealized gains' until you complete at least 10 profitable trades before entering the next stage.
Stage two: 50,000 → 300,000 (capture trend markets, amplify profits).
Core objective: increase rolling frequency in a clear trend, speeding up with 'banded compounding.'
Only operate within 'certain trends': for example, when BTC stabilizes above the 30-day line on the daily chart, and the trading volume increases more than threefold, confirm the upward trend before rolling. In January 2024, when the BTC ETF is approved, it will be a typical trending market suitable for rolling.
Position adding ratio: for every 15% profit, add 30% using unrealized gains. For example, if the principal of 50,000 earns 15% to 57,500, take out 2,250 (30% of unrealized gains of 7,500) to add to the position, keeping the total position controlled within 20% of the principal.
Take profit strategy: every 50% increase, realize 20% profit; for example, rolling from 50,000 to 100,000, first withdraw 20,000 cash, leaving 80,000 to continue rolling. This way, you can lock in profits while avoiding the 'profit retracement' mentality collapse.
Stage three: 300,000 → 1 million (relying on the big cycle trend to earn 'era dividends').
Core objective: seize the large market trend of bull and bear transitions, using one big trend to leap forward.
Wait for 'historic opportunities': for instance, when Bitcoin rises from the bear market bottom (like 15,000) to the mid-point of a bull market (like 60,000), this level of 5x trend can amplify rolling to more than 10x returns. In the bull market of 2020-2021, some used 300,000 to roll it to 5 million, relying on this kind of big trend.
Dynamically adjust positions: during the initial phase of a trend, keep positions at 10%-20%; during the mid-phase, increase to 30%-40%; during the final phase, reduce back to 10%. For example, if BTC rises from 30,000 to 60,000, start with a position of 30,000, increase to 60,000 at 40,000, and then decrease to 30,000 at 50,000. This way, you don't miss the main upward wave while also reducing risk at the top.
Ultimate discipline: once the capital reaches 800,000, stop rolling, take out 500,000 to store in stable coins, and continue operating with the remaining 300,000. Remember: the end point of rolling is 'locking in wealth,' not 'rolling forever.'
4. The most easily overlooked: the 'psychological moat' of rolling.
Rolling from 5000 yuan to a million, technique only accounts for 30%, mindset accounts for 70%. I have seen too many people who had good techniques but ultimately fail due to two mindset traps.
1. Don’t be greedy for 'perfect positioning': missing out is better than making the wrong addition.
There are always people tangled up in 'I added too early' or 'I added too little.' For example, if you plan to add positions after a 10% gain, but it only rises to 9% and you rush to add, or it rises to 15% and you wait for a pullback. In fact, rolling doesn't need to be precise; as long as you add within the 'profit range,' it isn't a mistake.
Just like farming, as long as you sow in spring, it doesn't matter if it's a few days early or late; it's better than missing the sowing season.
2. Accept 'imperfect stop-losses': stop-losses are costs, not failures.
During the rolling process, having 3-4 stop losses out of 10 trades is normal. In 2023, when I was rolling with SOL, out of 5 trades, there were 2 stop losses, but the remaining 3 trades were profitable, increasing the total capital by 80%.
Treat stop-losses as 'buying tickets' — if you want to enter the amusement park, you have to buy a ticket. Occasionally encountering a bad ride doesn't mean you can get your ticket money back, but it doesn't affect your enjoyment of other rides.
Five practical cases of rolling 5000 yuan: avoid the pits others have fallen into.
Positive case: 5000 yuan → 780,000, achieved with a 'simple method'
From 2022 to 2024, someone started with 5000 yuan in spot trading, buying ETH at 880 dollars during a bear market, selling it at 1200 dollars, earning 40%; then rolling with 1x leverage, increasing the position by 10% each time with a profit of 10%, and a stop-loss of 2%. In two years, they rolled it to 780,000. Their secret: only trade ETH, avoid altcoins, and do not switch currencies, relying on 'focus + discipline' to win.
Negative case: 100,000 → 500 yuan, died from 'leverage addiction.'
In 2023, a retail investor used 100,000 yuan with 5x leverage for rolling. After earning 50,000 yuan in the first two trades, they raised the leverage to 10x and encountered a BTC flash crash, resulting in a liquidation to 30,000; unwilling to accept this, they increased their position again with 10x leverage, which led to total loss a week later. They violated the taboo of rolling: using principal to increase position and raising leverage higher and higher.
Key conclusion: the essence of rolling is 'exchanging time for space.'
From 5000 to 1 million requires at least 2-3 cycles of bull and bear (3-5 years). Those who dream of achieving it in one year will ultimately be educated by the market. The wealth code in the crypto space has never been 'fast', but rather 'steady + long-term.'
Finally: Insights on rolling for ordinary people
Can 5000 yuan roll to 1 million? Yes, but it requires three preconditions:
Operate with spare money; losing it won't affect your life.
Spend at least 6 months practicing your technique, completing 100 simulated trades;
Embrace 'slow'; do not pursue overnight wealth.
Rolling is not a myth, but a tool for 'ordinary people to reverse their fortunes through discipline.' Just like climbing stairs, each step is very ordinary, but if you persist through 1000 steps, you can reach heights that others cannot.
If you currently only have 5000 yuan, don't rush. Start rolling from the first profit of 100 yuan — the snowball of wealth must start from a small snowball.
Ten years of trading coins, a veteran teaches you how to save your life! I used to lose so much I couldn’t sleep all night, now I steadily earn 50%+ every year, relying on these few simple methods:
1. Hands itchy, cut-off principle. If the market hasn't presented the patterns I practiced a thousand times, I'd rather scroll through Douyin than place an order. Just like playing Mahjong, I absolutely won't play a hand that I can't win!
2. Night owl strategy. Daytime market movements are erratic, with all kinds of fake news popping up. After 9 PM, when the big players have finished dinner, the trends reveal their true form.
3. Take a bite of the meat in your mouth. Made 1000 USDT? Immediately transfer 300 to your bank card! The rest is up to you. I've seen too many people earn enough for a Porsche but couldn't stop, ending up losing even their bicycles.
4. Install a 'demon-exposing mirror' on your phone. Download TradingView; before every order, you must check three indicators: MACD golden cross and death cross (the crossing of two lines), RSI overbought and oversold (above 70/below 30), and the Bollinger Bands contraction and expansion.
5. Be skilled with stop-losses. When sitting at the computer, play 'Mobile Castle': after earning 100 USDT, move the stop-loss line up by 50 USDT, repeat the nesting. Going out for a walk? Just set a 5% hard stop-loss; don’t be afraid even if the big players drop the market at midnight.
6. Must distribute profits every Friday. Whether you earn 10,000 or 1,000, transfer 30% to your bank account at 3 PM every Friday.
7. Watching K-lines is like watching a series. Want to make quick money? Focus on the 1-hour chart; if there are two consecutive bullish candles, you’ll hit a constipation market (sideways). Switch to the 4-hour chart to find support levels, just as accurate as looking for restroom signs.
8. These pitfalls are fatal. Leverage over 10x = suicide (beginners are advised to start with 3x for practice). Shitcoins and dogcoins are all just tools for harvesting retail investors. Limit yourself to a maximum of 3 trades per day; if you can't stop clicking like you're eating sunflower seeds, you'll be doomed.
Remember: the more Zen you are, the fatter your wallet.
Making 1 million in crypto means 'either rely on a big bull market + holding, or rely on hitting the right coin for wealth, or rely on high leverage betting in the right direction.' But most people lose money, so don’t just look at the wealth stories; first, think clearly about how much risk you can bear.
If you are also a tech enthusiast in the crypto space, click on the coin homepage.
Tap the avatar to follow me and gain first-hand news and in-depth analysis!