🇺🇸 Who can lead the Federal Reserve: current odds according to Polymarket
On the crypto betting platform Polymarket, bets are open on who will become the new head of the Federal Reserve — below we will analyze the current options.
Here are the leaders of the race:
1) Kevin Warsh (28%)
- Former member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (2006–2011).
- Was a key intermediary between the Federal Reserve and Wall Street during the 2008 crisis.
- Worked at the investment bank Morgan Stanley.
- Known for a tough (“hawkish”) stance on monetary policy.
2) Kevin Hassett (24%)
- Current economic advisor to Trump.
- Co-author of the book “Dow 36,000,” where he predicted a rapid rise in the stock market (which only materialized 22 years later).
- An active supporter of tax breaks for businesses.
3) Chris Waller (16%)
- Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve.
- Former head of the research department of the St. Louis Fed.
- Expert in monetary policy, a moderate “hawk.”
4) Judy Shelton (4%)
- Advocate for a return to the gold standard.
- Her confirmation in the Senate has been repeatedly derailed due to controversial views.
- Worked at the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development.
