89% probability of "Rate Cut" in September. Rate cuts are | EffiCruze on Binance Square

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89% probability of "Rate Cut" in September. 
Rate cuts are generally Bullish for the market..!

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Market Update – Ethereum Near ATH Ethereum is approaching its all-time high, which may bring heightened volatility. * A rejection from the **$4,900** level could see a pullback toward **$4,500**. * A confirmed breakout above **$4,900** may trigger a short squeeze, potentially pushing price toward **$5,300**. Over the past few days, many altcoins have rallied 20%+, but market makers may induce liquidations to shake out traders before a potential full-scale altseason. Caution: Avoid excessive leverage in these conditions. #ETH5kNext? #ETHRally #ETHOvertakesNetflix #ETHUpdate

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Catch up on the last 24 hours: * Grayscale registers for Cardano and Hedera ETFs in Delaware * Fear & Greed Index rises to 73 from 54 * Standard Chartered raises ETH forecast to $7,500 (2025) and $25,000 (2028) * US Treasury Secretary expects Fed rate cuts in September * Donald Trump to announce new Fed chair early * Estonian banker loses access to $1B ETH wallet from 2015 ICO * Eric Trump says major US banks closed hundreds of his accounts, prompting crypto shift * BTC hits new ATH and surpasses Google in market cap, now 5th largest asset * Google Play to enforce crypto wallet licensing in 15 jurisdictions from Oct. 29 * Justin Sun sues Bloomberg over confidential financial details * Canary Capital registers for TRUMP Coin ETF. #BTCBreaksATH #ETH5kNext? #ETHRally #MarketGreedRising

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B3/USDT LONG Setup Entry Points 0.3200-0.3300 Tps 0.003600, 0.003800, 0.004000 SL 4HR Candle Closing Below 0.002950 #ETH5kNext? #B3USDT #B3✅🔥 #BTC

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The deep psychological mechanisms (evidence backed) Part-1 1) Loss aversion and Prospect Theory People evaluate gains and losses relative to a reference point and losses “hurt” more than equivalent gains feel good. That bias drives many to hold losers (to avoid realizing a loss) and to sell winners too early (to lock a gain), a core explanation for the behaviour you described. 2) The Disposition Effect (empirical result) Empirical studies of investors show people systematically realize profits more often than losses. This is exactly the “sell winners hold losers” pattern and it correlates with worse long term returns for individuals. 3) Dopamine reward system and near-miss effects Trading outcomes trigger the brain’s reward circuitry. Wins produce dopamine spikes and near wins or “almost hits” also activate reward circuits causing continued chasing. That mechanism makes short term wins addictive and promotes impulsive chasing of small moves. Neuroscience and gambling disorder literature describe the same neurobiology. 4) Overconfidence, attention limits and confirmation bias Traders overestimate their signal quality and fall back on fast intuitive judgements. Overconfidence increases trading frequency and reduces learning from mistakes. Confirmation bias causes traders to act on weak “signals” and ignore disconfirming data. 5) Stress arousal, limited capital and urgency to “recover” When capital is small and losses hurt living standards traders feel urgent pressure to recover quickly. This stress increases impulsive decisions and risk taking creating a vicious cycle. Clinical work on gambling and trading addiction shows stress and impaired cognitive control worsen outcomes. 6) Structural factors matter: leverage margin and position sizing Behavioral problems become catastrophic under high leverage. Liquidations happen when margin runs out. Using structured position sizing and limiting leverage directly prevents forced holding of losing positions and emotional breakdowns. #ETH5kNext? #ETHRally #BTCReclaims120K #BTC

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Catch up on the last 24 hours: US spot Ethereum ETFs saw $1B inflows on Aug 11, largest since launch. Stripe developing “Tempo” blockchain with Paradigm for payments. Circle unveils Arc, a USDC-native Layer 1.SEC resolves case against Ripple. US CPI at 2.7% YoY, Core CPI at 3.1%.Mysterious entity accumulates 312,052 ETH ($1.34B). Belarus president explores crypto for payments. Coinbase launches Stablecoin Bootstrap Fund for DeFi liquidity. Bessent suggests Fed cut rates by 50 bps in September. Trump’s crypto ventures earned $2.4B since 2022. #ETHRally #ETH5kNext? #MarketUpdate #ETHOvertakesNetflix

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