### Daily Bitcoin Report
**Date: August 5, 2025**
Sources: CoinGecko, TradingView, Bloomberg, CoinTelegraph, Valor Investe .
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#### **1. Current Price and Trading Volume**
| **Metric** | **Value (USD)** | **Variation (%)** |
|-------------------|-------------------|------------------|
| **Current Price** | $113,962.20 | ▼ 0.37% (24h) |
| **24h Volume** | $55.09 Billion | ▲ 13.8% |
| **7 Days** | $119,568 | ▼ 4.4% |
| **30 Days** | $106,200 | ▼ 11.2% |
**Analysis:**
Slight correction in 24h, with resistance at **$120K** and critical support at **$112,630**. High volume indicates institutional interest, but profit-taking pressures in the short term .
---
#### **2. Regulatory News**
- **USA:**
- "Genius Act" approved: regulates *stablecoins* with mandatory reserves, defines Bitcoin as a *commodity* and prohibits CBDCs. The White House will publish a report on BTC strategic reserves .
- **Brazil:** Congress debates cryptocurrency taxation focusing on combating fraud and money laundering .
- **EU:** MiCA will require identity verification for transactions over €1K starting in 2026 .
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#### **3. Institutional ETF Flow**
| **ETF** | **Flow (24h)** | **Trend** |
|---------------|-------------------|---------------|
| BlackRock | +$34.37 Million | ▲ Inflow |
| Bitwise | +$12.66 Million | ▲ Inflow |
| Fidelity | -$331.42 Million | ▼ Outflow |
**Net Total (July):** +$12.8 Billion (historical record). **Aggregate AUM:** $151.36 Billion .
**Analysis:** July marked the best month for ETFs, led by BlackRock. Pointed outflows in Fidelity reflect adjustments pre-Fed .
---
#### **4. Revised Analyst Projections**
- **Optimists:**
- Standard Chartered maintains **$150K by Dec/2025** (institutional adoption and strategic reserves) .
- VanEck projects **$2.9 million by 2030** (5% adoption model of the global monetary market) .
- **Neutrals/Cautious:**
- JPMorgan warns of a correction below **$109K** if the support of $116K breaks (RSI at 45) .
- Bitfinex highlights the risk of liquidations in altcoins due to excessive leverage .
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#### **5. Macroeconomic Events**
| **Event** | **Date** | **Impact** |
|--------------------------------|----------------|---------------------------|
| Fed interest rate decision (USA) | 08/05/2025 | Expected cut (94% probability) |
| Eurozone Inflation | 2.5% (current) | ▼ Monetary pressure |
| Brazil GDP (Q2 2024) | +0.8% | ▲ Economic stability |
**Analysis:** Fed interest rate cut (forecast for September) is a catalyst for risk assets. Stable dollar and rising gold reinforce caution .
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#### **6. Technological Highlights**
- **Bitcoin Network:**
- Average transaction fee fell to **$1.20** (minimum in 6 months) .
- Mining difficulty reaches **127.6 trillion** (historical record) .
- **DeFi Adoption:**
- **BTCFi (DeFi on Bitcoin):** Projection of **300 million users**, surpassing Ethereum and Solana. TVL in protocols like Stacks reaches **$2.7 Billion** (+40% in 2025) .
- Tokenization of real assets (RWAs) projected to **$30 trillion by 2035** .
---
### **Conclusion**
Bitcoin consolidates at **~$114K**, supported by:
1. **Regulation:** Legitimization via "Genius Act" (USA) and MiCA (EU), but taxation in Brazil generates uncertainties .
2. **Macroeconomics:** Fed interest rate cut (today) and controlled inflation in the Eurozone are potential catalysts .
3. **Technology:** Reduction of fees and growth of BTCFi enhance Bitcoin's utility, while miners adapt to energy efficiency post-halving .
**Monitor:** Fed decision (3 PM BRT) and breakout of $120K (high) or $112,630 (low). Ethereum leads "altseason" with a 55% rise in July, pressuring BTC dominance .
*Data updated at 11:00 BRT. Sources: CoinGecko (prices), Bloomberg (ETFs), TradingView (technical analysis).*