The market for altcoins is still strongly influenced by Bitcoin and especially Ethereum. When BTC and ETH are flat, most altcoins follow with small declines; once the market drops slightly, altcoins collapse directly.
If you still view the current market with a 3-4 month mindset, you may feel that altcoins are completely hopeless; many people have indeed lost hope in this sector.
But don't forget, the U.S. and Wall Street won't easily give up on the grand strategy of 'monetizing debt.'
With ETFs, interest rate policy expectations, grand narratives, and national competition concepts, the spark of a bull market still exists.
During the coldest times in the market, new breakout points may emerge. I do not believe that altcoins have no opportunity; rather, future market trends will no longer be about 'full bloom' but a structural and selective rise.
Some coins previously mentioned as "not recommended to buy" should indeed be cautiously avoided. For example, some new coins on Binance have recently seen significant declines, essentially becoming 'junk coins'; while those small-cap altcoins are often delisted shortly after launch, lacking long-term holding value.
If a bull market really comes, the funds are most likely to concentrate in the following three directions:
1. Mainstream coins and historically validated old Meme coins
2. South Korea sector
3. Coins with high attention in the U.S. domestic market
CETUS
The greatest wealth code on SUI is $CETUS, which is one of the only two projects on Binance Spot with a TVL exceeding FDV. After suffering a massive attack of $220 million in May 2025, it has now resumed operations. Cetus has restarted and is promoting open-source development, new security audits, and bug bounty programs to strengthen its future infrastructure. If CETUS regains investor confidence and purchasing pressure returns, the token may test the resistance level of $0.129, and if it breaks through, it could further push towards $0.142.
DMC
As the first physical asset tokenization project for cars on SUI, DMC now has a market value of 82 million FDV, with a circulating supply of only 17 million, making it a typical "small-cap potential stock." With the addition of second-tier exchanges + Binance alpha + Binance contract configurations, resources are fully allocated. The recent enthusiasm for the SUI ecosystem has rebounded, and this project's IP and backing are good, making it suitable for ambush when the winds come.
ORDI
ORDI breaks through the daily downward trend line, no longer creating new lows, perfectly aligning with the left-side entry point of the 123 rule. Currently in a value trough period, making it the best time; buying when no one is paying attention. I add to my position with every dip. My expectations for ORDI have not been met; let’s prove the value feast over time, currently aiming for 10u!
LDO
Currently, it appears to be a double bottom pattern; project income has not significantly decreased, but the coin price has dropped back to three years ago. It is said that ETFs with staking will open within four weeks, which is favorable for $LDO. Moreover, LDO has a high correlation with ETH, but has a lighter load, akin to leveraged ETH on the spot market. From a 2-3 month or longer perspective, LDO still has relatively high cost-effectiveness.
1. Recognize reality: The essence of the market and the unpredictability of life
The underlying logic of the crypto world is a high-complexity probability game. Whether it's the intense volatility of Bitcoin or the zero-risk of altcoins, it repeatedly confirms a truth: there are no eternal myths of sudden wealth, only eternal survival challenges. As users have experienced personally, 'accounts falling from 2 million to ruins' makes all attempts to predict tops and bottoms seem ridiculous due to the market's unpredictability.
Metaphor for life: Just as the market cannot be completely controlled, life is also full of uncertainties. Diseases, unemployment, unexpected 'black swan' events can strike at any moment. Accepting the unpredictable allows us to respond to risks with a more rational attitude.
2. Discipline is king: Trading rules and life's bottom line
The core transformation for users to survive ultimately is learning to "lightly leverage contracts and always set stop losses." Behind this is the golden rule of survival in the crypto world: discipline > technique, execution > inspiration. The 'three no principle' proposed on page 4 (stop trading after continuous losses, mandatory exit after profits, and no trading during major events) is a way to combat human greed and fear with rules.
Extension of life: Discipline is not only the armor of traders but also the shield for ordinary people against temptation. Time management in the workplace, dietary regulations in health, and boundary awareness in relationships are all essentially 'stop-loss lines'—actively drawing a clear bottom line before losing control.
3. Risk control: Position management and leaving space in life
The key to early user failures lies in 'heavily investing in altcoins,' while the consensus among survivors is: total position should not exceed 30%, using funds that can withstand losses for speculation. The '4321 position management method' proposed on page 4 (40% low-leverage trend positions, 30% swing positions, 20% flexible positions, 10% never to be used) takes risk dispersion to the extreme.
Life insight: Life also requires 'position control.' Putting all energy into work, relationships, or a single goal can lead to total collapse in the face of setbacks. Maintaining financial reserves, cultivating diverse interests, and sustaining a social support network all serve as 'safety nets' for life.
4. The miracle of compounding: The time gifts of long-termism
The true winners in the crypto world are not those who become wealthy quickly, but rather those who accumulate at an annual rate of 30%-50% through compound interest. The fact that users ultimately 'did not restore their accounts to peak but survived' verifies the essence of compounding: the longer you survive, the more significant the snowball effect.
Reflection on life: Fields such as health, knowledge, and relationships all require compound thinking. Reading for an hour each day, maintaining regular exercise, and saving periodically may seem like small accumulations, but over the years, they will unleash energy far beyond expectations.
5. Mindset training: Life wisdom beyond greed and fear
Users transition from 'dreaming of counting K-lines' to 'staying calm during market craziness'; this is essentially a transformation of mindset. The common trait among crypto experts is anti-human behavior: excitement when prices drop (buying low) and vigilance when prices rise (taking profits and exiting). The 'Buddhist investment view' proposed on page 7—viewing money as numbers and treating fluctuations with a calm mindset—truly transcends human weaknesses.
Elevation of life: The greatest pain in life often stems from 'obsession.' An excessive desire for success and extreme resistance to failure can distort judgment. As Zen teachings say: 'One should not be attached to anything and let the mind arise.' Letting go of attachment to outcomes allows for a more composed approach to gains and losses.
Conclusion: Survival is victory; being alive means having a future.
The battlefield of the crypto world and the arena of life are fundamentally similar: luck in the short term, survival in the long term. Users' stories prove that true success is not the peak value of account numbers, but rather the ability to remain at the table after experiencing bull and bear markets.
Ultimate insight: Whether in investment or life, 'being alive' itself is a strategy. It requires us to respect risks, adhere to discipline, maintain flexibility, and patiently wait for the gifts of compound interest across the river of time. As Nietzsche said: 'What does not kill me makes me stronger'—the ultimate meaning of survival is to reserve the spark for the next opportunity.
The starry sky stretches for miles as always. You will definitely gain something; guiding others is like guiding yourself. There are no bad markets, only bad operations. I hope that no matter how the market changes, we can always walk together, and in ten years, we can still smile at the crypto world.
Once you have seen the vast seas, no other waters can compare. Aside from the clouds over Wushan, these are some insights from my ten years of trading. They are heartfelt words; having taken many detours, I have slowly understood the path. Today, I share this summary with everyone, hoping it will help enhance your understanding and thinking about trading.
