Sui’s native token $SUI trades at approximately $3.50, with a market cap near $12.1–12.3B and daily volume around $2.3B. Despite robust ecosystem expansion—TVL reaching $2.2B and diverse use-cases emerging—a significant token unlock (44M SUI on August 1) introduces short-term supply risk (~1.3% of supply). Technical support resides near $3.50, with resistance around $3.60–$3.65 and upside toward $4.00 if demand persists. Risk framework centers on unlock absorption, adoption momentum, and user velocity.