Bitcoin Weekly Outlook (Aug 1–7, 2025)

  • Current Price: ~$118,550

  • Recent Range: $116,000 – $119,00

ATH in July: ~$123,000

Key Factors to Watch

  • U.S. Jobs Data (Aug 2): A strong NFP report could pressure BTC; a weak one may trigger a rally.

  • ETF Flows: Slowing, but still net positive. July 25 saw +$130M inflow (IBIT, ARKB led; GBTC saw outflows).

  • Technical Level:

    • Support: $117K

    • Resistance: $120K

    • Breakout above $120K → target $125K

    • Drop below $117K → possible dip to $113K

Market Sentiment

  • ETF inflows for 13 straight weeks = institutional confidence

  • Fear & Greed Index: Slightly greedy

  • Price action flat, but volatility expected post–jobs data


Scenarios

| 🟢 Bullish | Soft jobs data, strong ETF flows → $120K–$125K

| 🔴 Bearish | Hot macro data, ETF slowdown → $113K–$117K

| ⚪ Neutral | Low volume, range-bound → $117K–$120K

Bottom Line: Bitcoin is consolidating just under key resistance. A breakout depends on U.S. economic data and ETF demand. Be ready for increased volatility by Friday.

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