After #以太坊十周年 (July 30, 2025), the price has approached $4000, currently fluctuating between $3800 and $3900, with the upward trend driven by expectations of interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve, ETF enthusiasm, and institutional accumulation. From a technical perspective, the RSI is high but not overbought; a breakthrough above the $4000 resistance requires strong volume support. Sentiment is optimistic on X, but there is a warning of a potential short-term pullback to $3312-$3512. Positive fundamentals include the Dencun upgrade reducing costs and the staking enthusiasm. Macro risks (such as stock market volatility) may weigh on prices. The probability of reaching $4000 within two weeks is relatively high (about 60%), but caution is advised regarding pullback risks; it is recommended to pay attention to trading volume and changes in market sentiment.