$BNB
The Federal Reserve did not lower interest rates at this meeting, but the real drama is yet to come – Trump and Powell have completely clashed!
Powell continues to play it cool, refusing to budge on lowering interest rates. How can Trump tolerate this? He directly flipped the table and took action! Immediately after the meeting, he announced a 40% tariff increase on Brazil (which, combined with the existing tariff, brings it to 50%). This move is ruthless – Brazil's fruits, coffee beans, and beef are all doomed, and prices for juices, coffee, and steaks in American supermarkets are about to rise.
And it doesn't stop there! All tariff exemptions for imported goods under $800 have been completely canceled, even industrial materials like copper are not spared. Trump is clearly looking to stir things up: don't you want to see inflation data? I'll personally create inflation for you! Now, corporate costs are rising rapidly, and inflation data will definitely skyrocket within a month.
Canada has already been scared off, and the trade talks originally scheduled for August 1 have been indefinitely postponed. In my opinion, the market will absolutely be in chaos over the next two months – if Powell continues to hold firm, the earliest he can lower interest rates will be in October, and the price surge caused by the tariff war will be enough for everyone to be in trouble.
The market expectations have already gone haywire: the probability of a rate cut in September has plummeted from 60% to below 50%, and the expected rate cut for the year has also shrunk. I must remind everyone that August will be very tough for the market; Trump's actions are completely unconventional, and whether Powell responds or not, something big is bound to happen.
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Next, I will continue to layout strategic orders; rather than blindly exploring and failing to capture the best entry and exit points leading to losses, it’s better to follow me. If you agree, just come along
