‘When retail investors are still guessing if 3900 is the top or bottom, whales have already voted with cash—there are no coincidences in the crypto market, only carefully designed wealth transfers!’
1. Today's market: The main force is treating retail investors like ATMs, playing it very clearly!
A sharp drop to 3727 in the morning, how many people panicked and cut losses? But then it rebounded, surging to 3886 in the afternoon only to drop again—this isn’t a market action? This is the market maker playing the 'cutting leeks simulator'!
3727's bottom: Fibonacci retracement level + July 27 low point, double bottom support is as hard as steel, obviously a 'buying line' drawn by the main force.
3886's pit: A surge followed by a drop blew up $950 million in short positions, and the retail investors' losses were all absorbed by institutions. Even more ruthlessly, on-chain data shows that a mysterious whale swept up 10,000 ETH ($38 million) in one day—can't drop? This is the signal!
Case: Last week when Bitcoin broke 70,000, it was the same routine: first a sharp drop to wash out positions, then a surge to blow up shorts. History doesn’t repeat itself, but it rhymes—the main force has been eating retail investors for ten years without change!
2. Will it break 3900 tonight? Three major reasons to convince you!
1. Institutional ETF funds are buying frantically, bullets are sufficient!
ETH spot ETFs have seen net inflows for 17 consecutive days, today another $70 million was absorbed! Giants like BlackRock and Grayscale have swept up $2.5 billion in ETH in 6 days—market makers have 100 times more money than retail investors, what do you think they want to do?
Personal opinion: Is ETF money 'dumb money'? Wrong! This is the 'long-term ticket' for institutions. Their willingness to spend $2.5 billion indicates that 3900 is just the starting point, and 4500 is the target!
2. Technical aspects: Ascending triangle + moving averages supporting the bottom, it’s hard not to rise!
On the hourly chart, ETH has formed a standard ascending triangle:
Support line has moved up from 3820 to 3840 (the 100-hour moving average is sticking to the price like glue).
The resistance line is at 3886 to 3900, as long as it breaks out with volume tonight, programmed buy orders will surge in like a tide, directly pushing to 3920!
Case: Before Bitcoin broke 70,000 in April, it also had the same triangle pattern—history tells us, there must be a big market action at the end of a triangle!
3. Whales hoarding: 560,000 ETH, is this to control the market?
Wall Street 'mathematician' Tom Lee's BitMine has already hoarded 560,000 ETH ($2 billion)! Even more exaggerated, Lido DAO's founder pledged $85 million to buy the dip on 15,000 stETH—these big players have staked their fortunes, what do you think they are after?
Personal opinion: Whales are not philanthropists, their hoarding has only one purpose—to push prices up and sell off to earn retail investors’ money! But the problem is, they haven’t sold off yet, indicating the market is far from over!
3. How should retail investors operate tonight? Remember these three mnemonics!
Don't chase after a sudden rise: If it suddenly surges to 3900, don’t rush to chase high, wait for a pullback to 3886 for confirmation before entering (to prevent false breakouts).
Buy on a sharp drop: If it falls to around 3800, close your eyes and go long—on-chain data shows there is a defensive wall of 3 million ETH staked here, it won't drop!
Ultimate strategy: Place a breakout order at 3920 + a stop-loss order at 3790, risk-reward ratio of 3:1, earning while lying down!
Mnemonic:
‘Whales hoarding coins day, corrections are father;
ETFs keep flowing, the bulls never end!
4. The next wave of wealth secrets: July 30 is Ethereum's 10th anniversary, the opportunity for wealth is coming!
When everyone is focused on 3900, the real opportunity is hidden in the Ethereum 10th anniversary celebration on July 30!
Layer2 expansion: Developers will release the ultimate plan, Gas fees may drop by 90%, and transaction speed will soar 10 times!
EigenLayer airdrop: The total value locked (TVL) in the re-staking protocol has reached $11.3 billion, new DeFi project airdrops are imminent, an opportunity to pick up free money!
Stablecoin legislation implemented: $2 trillion will flood into the Ethereum ecosystem—$15,000 ETH is not a dream!
Personal opinion: The 10th anniversary is Ethereum's 'coming-of-age ceremony', the main force will definitely take the opportunity to do big things! Hiding now is like getting the 'ticket to wealth' in advance!
Tonight, let's make a big move together!
‘There are no philanthropists in the crypto market, only winners and losers—tonight, which side will you choose?’ #ETH重返3800