In the crypto world, after earning one hundred million, I choose to retire: this profit system should be archived.
At the moment I opened my account balance, the seven zeros on the screen flashed somewhat dazzlingly — 9234084.17U. Staring at this number for half an hour, I closed the trading software and messaged my assistant: 'Close all contracts and transfer the spot to the cold wallet.'

The core is 'three lines determine the universe'. Opening the K-line chart, always only look at three lines: the 50-day line determines the short-term trend, the 200-day line differentiates bull and bear markets, and the trading volume line judges the authenticity of funds. When Bitcoin broke through $5,000 in 2017, the 50-day line had just crossed the 200-day line, and trading volume suddenly surged to three times the six-month average. I gambled my 2 million from mortgaging my house, and that bull market allowed my account to break ten million for the first time.

I. The underlying logic of technical analysis and market validation

  1. The trend password of moving average crossovers
    The crossover of the 50-day line and the 200-day line is essentiallythe game between short-term momentum and long-term trends.When the 50-day line crosses above the 200-day line (golden cross), it indicates that short-term funds begin to recognize the long-term upward logic, such as the breakout when Bitcoin surpassed $5,000 in 2017. This signal is also effective in traditional financial markets; for example, in 2025, when Ethereum's 50-day line touched the 200-day line for the third time without breaking, the shrinking trading volume formed a 'golden buying point', consistent with the principle of 'volume contraction confirming support' in technical analysis.

  2. The function of discerning the authenticity of trading volume
    The author emphasizes 'judging the authenticity of funds through trading volume', which highly aligns with the characteristics of the cryptocurrency market. During the 2017 bull market, trading volume surged to three times the six-month average, reflecting genuine capital entry; while before the 2022 LUNA crash, abnormal trading volume often signaled the exit of major players. This logic of combining volume and price is more reliable in decentralized exchanges (like XBIT), as their on-chain real trading volume cannot be fabricated.

  3. Market adaptability of moving average strategies
    The effectiveness of moving averages in the cryptocurrency market varies by cycle. For instance, the 50-day moving average performed excellently during the 2021-2022 bull market but may trigger stop-losses frequently during the 2018 bear market. The author improves signal accuracy throughmulti-cycle resonance(like daily + weekly) andpattern confirmation(like the third touch without breaking) which is consistent with the 'trend filtering' strategy of professional trading teams.

II. The three core defenses of risk management

  1. The shock absorption mechanism of diversified holding
    The rule of not holding more than 15% in a single coin is essentiallyusing mathematical probability to combat black swans.In 2018, Litecoin's 80% crash only caused a 1.6% position loss, while the LUNA collapse in 2022 only lost 0.07% of the principal. This diversification effect is especially important in 2025, when there are over 12 million types of altcoins. Professional institutions like Yifang Jinshu also adopt a 'multi-strategy combination' to diversify risks, controlling their maximum account drawdown within 18%.

  2. The life and death switch of the stop-loss line
    The rule that mainstream coins break the 50-day line by 8% and altcoins by 5% must be cutThe wisdom of exchanging small losses for big opportunities.In 2022, during the LUNA crash, the author's 1% position only lost 70,000 U due to a 5% stop-loss, while those who did not stop-loss could lose everything. This mechanism is particularly critical in the cryptocurrency market, where daily fluctuations exceeding 10% are not uncommon.

  3. Self-castration of trading frequency
    The rule of only making 3 trades a month is essentiallyexchanging time for space.The author lost half a house due to frequent operations in his early years, but later caught key points like the '312 crash' in 2020 by limiting the number of trades. This strategy is consistent with the logic of professional teams' 'high-frequency review + low-frequency operation', such as the Yifang Jinshu team evaluating strategy combinations monthly and eliminating inefficient models.

III. The replicability of the system and the limitations of the era

  1. Necessary conditions for success

    • Market cycle dividends: The author's key operations are concentrated in major cycles like the 2017 bull market and the 2020 halving event, where the effectiveness of technical signals is significantly higher than in a choppy market.

    • Capital scale adaptation: The growth curve from 50,000 principal to 100 million requires rapid accumulation through high positions in the small capital stage, but strategies must be adjusted (such as reducing the proportion of single coin positions) after capital expands.

    • Discipline execution ability: The author could mortgage real estate to gamble in 2017 and decisively stop-loss in 2022. This counterintuitive operation requires strong psychological resilience, which ordinary investors find hard to replicate.

  2. Potential challenges of market changes

    • Impact of institutional trends: The influx of funds from Bitcoin ETF in 2025 and the failure of altcoin rotation logic dilute traditional technical analysis signals. For instance, in an institution-led market, price fluctuations may rely more on macro policies than on technical patterns.

    • Reconstruction of regulatory environment: The implementation of the EU (Crypto Asset Market Regulation Bill) and the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserves may change the market liquidity structure, necessitating adjustments to the author's 'diversified altcoin' strategy.

    • Technical iteration risk: New technologies like DeFi protocols and Layer 2 scaling may give rise to new valuation logic, and strategies relying solely on moving averages may fail. For example, in 2025, MEME coins in the Solana ecosystem have detached from fundamental speculation.

IV. Philosophical insights on financial freedom

  1. The anchor value of goal setting
    The author wrote down the goal of 'retiring after earning one hundred million' in 2016, which isClear financial milestonesNot only provides motivation but also psychologically constructs a 'profit-taking mechanism'. In the cryptocurrency 'perpetual market', investors lacking goals often fall into a cycle of 'wanting to earn more after making a profit', ultimately being bitten by greed.

  2. Cognitive upgrade of time value
    The last page of the log's 'complex systems earn from emotions, simple systems earn from time' reveals the essence of investment:

    • Complex systems (like high-frequency quantification, news arbitrage) profit from emotional fluctuations but consume a lot of time and energy;

    • Simple systems (like moving average strategies) liberate time through rule-based operations, ultimately achieving wealth accumulation by 'exchanging time for space'.

  3. The ultimate choice for life's balance
    The author chose retirement instead of continuing to increase positions, resonating withthe dynamic balance of risk and return.When the asset scale reaches the critical point of 'three generations lying flat', the marginal return of continuing to take risks decreases, while the marginal improvement in quality of life is significant. This decision is akin to the 'dynamic rebalancing' strategy of professional institutions (such as reducing positions when profits reach three times the stop-loss).

V. Practical advice for investors

  1. System optimization direction

    • Multi-indicator resonance: Combining the 50/200-day lines with RSI and MACD reduces misjudgments in choppy markets. For example, entering when RSI is oversold and MACD has a golden cross can increase the win rate to over 65%.

    • Multi-time frame validation: Based on daily trend analysis, refer to the 4-hour chart to confirm entry points, like the combination of 'daily trend direction + 4-hour entry point' in the 200 EMA strategy.

    • Dynamic parameter adjustment: Adjust the moving average period according to market volatility, for example, using the 50/100-day line in a bull market and the 20/50-day line in a bear market.

  2. Risk control upgrade

    • Three-tier stop-loss mechanism: Set an initial stop-loss (like 5%), dynamic stop-loss (move to cost price after profit reaches 2 times the stop-loss), and extreme stop-loss (force liquidation if total account drawdown reaches 10%).

    • Pyramid management of positions: Use 5%-8% position when building a position, increase to 15% after breaking key resistance, avoiding full exposure to risk at once.

    • Cross-market hedging: Allocate 30% of assets in stablecoins or gold ETFs to hedge against black swan risks in the cryptocurrency market.

  3. Psychological training path

    • Dissection of trading logs: Record daily emotional fluctuations in trading decisions (such as fear, greed), build an 'emotion-behavior' mapping table, and gradually overcome psychological weaknesses.

    • Simulated trading pressure testing: Simulate strategy execution in extreme market conditions (like Bitcoin plummeting to $3,800 in March 2024) to verify the system's risk resistance capability.

    • External supervision mechanism: Join professional trading communities (like Yifang Jinshu's high-adhesion community) to compensate for personal cognitive blind spots through collective wisdom.

The last trade was last week. Ethereum touched the 50-day line for the third time without breaking below the 200-day line, with trading volume shrinking to a recent low. This is the 'golden buying point' given by the system. I entered the market with 8% of my position, and three days later, when it rose by 15%, I took profits according to the rules, just crossing the one hundred million threshold.
While tidying up the office, I came across a trading log from 2016, with the cover page saying, 'Retire after earning one hundred million.' Back then, I was watching the market in a rented room in a village, eating instant noodles, never thinking I would see this day. In fact, the secret of profitability was already written on the last page of the log: 'Complex systems earn money from emotions, simple systems earn money from time.'
Tomorrow, I plan to take my family to Iceland to see the aurora. As for this system, perhaps it will be engraved on a USB drive and buried in the backyard — money in the crypto world can never be fully earned, but life should have views more worth seeing than K-lines. After all, true financial freedom is finally having the confidence to say to the deep night of staring at the market, 'No need to see you again.'