Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, has made a bold statement: "The old 4-year Bitcoin cycle is dead." He believes that Bitcoin is no longer controlled by the same rules it once followed, such as halving events every four years.

Why the 4-Year Cycle Doesn’t Work Anymore

Hougan explains that halving used to be the key driver of Bitcoin’s price. But now, every time halving happens, its effect becomes smaller. It no longer moves the market like it did in the past. That’s why the old idea of a bull market every four years is no longer reliable.

What’s Driving Bitcoin Now?

According to Hougan, new and stronger forces are taking over the market. These include:

  • ETF Investment Boom: ETFs started launching in 2024. This trend will continue for 5 to 10 years, bringing steady growth.

  • Institutional Adoption: Big players like pension funds, charities, and national platforms are entering slowly but surely.

  • Clearer Regulations: Legal clarity will begin in January 2025 and continue long term, making crypto safer for large investors.

  • Wall Street is In: Congress passed the GENIUS Act this month, opening the door for billions of dollars to enter the crypto market.

    A New Era for Crypto

Hougan says we are entering a new phase for crypto. The future will be shaped by long-term adoption, regulations, and institutional investment — not short-term cycles.

His main advice to investors:
"Stop waiting for the next 4-year cycle. Think long-term. 2026 will be a breakout year."

This signals a huge shift in mindset for the crypto world — from short-term traders to serious, long-term investors.

🔒 The cycle is broken.
🚀 The institutions are coming.
📈 The boom is near.

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