Core Position
▫️ Lifeline: $181-183
- 50-day moving average + rising channel support, breaking opens $175 test
▫️ Breakout level: $195
- If stabilized, opens up $220 space (ETF expectation driven)
Time Bomb
▪️ SEC countdown for Solana ETF ruling (7/25-30)
- Approval: Triggers institutional capital influx
- Rejection: Short-term flash crash risk zone $160
▪️ On-chain alerts:
>50k SOL transferred to exchange or RSI daily>70 → Reduction signal
Operational Framework
✓ Holder:
- Reduce position by 30% in $195 area, stop loss below $180
- Look for opportunities to replenish below $165 (betting on Q4 upgrade market)
✓ Observer:
- Stabilize at $182 for trial position, stop loss at $178
- Add position on $195 breakout (target $220)
✓ Hedge Strategy:
Short below $180 on daily close, target $165, stop loss at $190.
Ultimate Simulation
> "Defend $181 until ETF, break $195 to chase trend"
Warning: SOL 30-day volatility>80%, single asset position recommendation <15%. $SOL