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🐋 Whale activity (Whale Accumulation)
In mid-July, major investors bought about 2.2 billion
XRP over two weeks, valued at more than $6.6 billion.
According to the Ainvest platform, 280 million XRP were purchased between July 5 and 15, accounting for about 0.56% of the total circulating supply.
Services like Whale Alert have detected a number of large transfers: including 25.5 million XRP sent to Coinbase at a price of ~$2.92, and other massive transfers from Upbit and other suspicious addresses.
This activity reflects clear institutional interest and long-term accumulation by whales.
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📊 Technical analysis of the XRP/USD index
Resistance and support
The price reached a new all-time high of $3.66 on July 18, then faced resistance at ~$3.50 and pulled back from there. It again tested support in the $3.00–3.20 range.
Technical indicators like RSI have dropped to around 55–60, indicating that the price is no longer in overbought territory, which is a sign of a healthy adjustment and not a full reversal.
Price patterns
Exited XRP from the "Flag/Triangle" pattern in early July, which strongly supported the upward trend, with expectations of reaching $3.40–3.60.
The flag breakout pattern suggests a potential target of around $5.25 away from the main resistance.
Possible technical scenarios
Scenario Support / Resistance Next expectation
Uptrend Strong support at $3.42–3.43 Breakout at $3.60 → towards $4.50–6.00
Temporary pullback Broke support at ~$3.00 Testing EMA 50 / 200 at ~$2.60–2.26
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🎯 Short and long-term price forecasts
Short-term: If it maintains support at ~$3.00–3.20 and rebounds upwards, it could regain resistance at ~$3.50 and then head towards $3.66 (the highest level achieved so far).
Medium-term until the end of 2025: Mixed forecasts:
Some technical analyses and financial institutions point to a target of ~$5.25–5.50 or even $6.00 if momentum continues.
Very optimistic forecasts link the price to Bitcoin's rise to record levels, predicting $7–10 or more (up to $15–26).
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✅ Summary – Is it a transient correction or the beginning of a reversal?
✅ The current adjustment seems healthy and temporary: after a rapid rise (>60% since early July), it is likely that this is just a "pause" within a broader upward trend.
⚠️ Critical support level: If the price fails to hold above ~$3.00–3.20, it may indicate a deeper pullback towards ~$2.60–2.26.
🟢 A strong bullish signal comes at a breakout of resistance at $3.60, which opens the way for targets extending to $5–6 or more.
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🔍 What should be monitored now?
1. Current price relative to $3.00 and $3.20: Does it have support?
2. Trading volume: A net and real increase in support indicates continued institutional interest.
3. Regulatory news related to XRP or ETF: Any positive development could accelerate a breakout of resistance.
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### Total:
Whales are accumulating in massive quantities, which is a strong indicator in favor of the bullish trend.
The price is clinging to major support; a break could lead to a pullback, but holding strengthens the bullish scenario.
Technical analysis supports a target of $5–6 by the end of 2025 if discipline and regulatory shift continue.
