Currently, Ethereum is trading around 3,704,$ with a market capitalization close to **460,600 M $**.
---
đ What market capitalization does Ethereum need to reach $4,000?
For ETH to go from 3,704,$ to $4,000, an increase of ~8% is needed. This would imply that the capitalization would also need to rise by ~8%, from the current 460,600 M $ to approximately:
î 460,600 \times 1.08 \approx 497,450\ \text{M$} î
---
âł Historical growth rate
According to recent records (July 21, 2025), the capitalization increased by 0.15% in a single day. Assuming, in a simplified manner, that it maintains that sustained growth rate:
Estimated average daily rate: 0.15%
**Days needed for +8%:**
î
8% \div 0.15%\ â 53\ \text{days} î
In summary, if growth continues at this rate, we could see $4,000 $ within about 2 months from today (end of September 2025).
---
â ïž Variables that may accelerate or slow down the pace
**Would accelerate progress:**
Strong inflows of institutional capital or ETFs.
Technological advances (Pectra, among others).
Possible short squeeze, as some analysts mention.
Could delay it:
Corrections after reaching psychological levels (like the rejection at $4,000).
Changes in regulation, macroeconomic movements, or decreased risk appetite.
---
𧩠Summary
Concept Estimated Value
Current price of ETH ~$3,704
Current capitalization ~460,600 M $
Capitalization needed for $4,000 ~497,450 M $
Estimated days at the rate of +0.15 %/day ~53 days (~2 months)
---
This analysis is a simplified linear projection. In reality, movements tend to be much more volatile. But if the market maintains this dynamism, the end of September would be a reasonable time to see ETH at $4,000.
Would you like me to show you a technical analysis (support/resistance chart) or would you prefer we adjust the calculation with different growth rates?
