#ORCA The new Launchpad (token issuance platform) is set to launch between late July and early August 2025, focusing on a bot-resistant launch mechanism, prioritizing the rights of real users during the initial token sale through the high-speed features of Solana.
1. Core Highlights of Launchpad

  • Bot-resistant mechanism: System design keeps machine trading relatively behind, preventing front-running and manipulation, ensuring 'human first'.

  • Enhancing trust and brand premium: If the platform successfully hosts high-quality public offerings, subsequent projects will be more willing to use Orca, enhancing the platform's reputation.

  • Mining transaction volume and fees: Launchpad issuance accompanied by high-frequency trading will bring considerable issuance fees and subsequent secondary market trading fees to Orca.

  • 2. Synergy within the Solana ecosystem

    - Relying on the existing foundation of Orca DEX: 34% Solana DEX market share, daily trading volume exceeding $230 million, over 100,000 users;

    - Deep integration with ecosystem projects like Bonk and Jupiter, providing instant liquidity and user flow for Launchpad projects.

  • 3. Institutional endorsement and resources

    Supported by top venture capital firms like Polychain Capital and Coinbase Ventures, with funding assurance for project selection and technology iteration.

Premium analysis of Orca token valuation

1. Platform fees and total TVL drive

  • Latest data from the Orca platform shows monthly trading volume exceeding $15.3 billion, with annual revenue potential of about $467 million.

  • If active projects on Launchpad bring an additional $100–200 million in trading volume to Orca each month, corresponding fees support an extra $500,000–1 million/month in revenue. If a 1–2% issuance fee is charged, annual revenue could increase by $2–4 million.

  • 2. Distribution of issuance income and token buybacks

  • Orca has implemented a 20% pool fee for ORCA buybacks and regular investments (xORCA rewards).

  • Launchpad income can be used to expand buybacks and token burn, further enhancing the scarcity value of ORCA.

  • 3. Simple calculation of valuation premium:With current ORCA circulation of about 60 million tokens, price at $2.47 (FDV ≈$185 million):

  • 4. Market confidence premium and multi-platform expansion

    • Launchpad can attract more projects and connect users, with the platform's TVL, trading depth, and ORCA staking rate all increasing simultaneously.

    • It is estimated that if Launchpad performs well, it is likely to boost ORCA's price by about +10–20% within the current range.

    🎯 Comprehensive Estimates and Investment Recommendations

    • Short-term valuation range: $2.6–$3.0 (considering the fees driven by Launchpad + slightly higher market expectations);

    • Medium-term potential target: If Launchpad successfully attracts high-quality issuance projects, ORCA is expected to break through $3.5–$4 (corresponding to about +40–60% increase).

    • Focus Areas: Quality of Launchpad projects, success rate of the first batch, and the implementation status of community votes on the fee distribution mechanism (buyback vs development vs xORCA reward ratio).

    ✅ Quick Conclusion

    Orca Launchpad is an important new mechanism to enhance the platform's core assets (TVL + Fees) and brand reputation, investment premium. Conservatively estimated, if successful, it can contribute to ORCA:

    • ✅ Overall valuation increase of +10‑20%: Short-term rise to $2.6–3;

    • 🔥 If executed effectively, continued participation from institutions/ecosystems: A mid-term rise to $3.5–4 is not a dream.

    It is recommended to closely monitor the performance of the first batch of Launchpad projects, the results of the fee distribution votes, and the progress of the ORCA deflation mechanism implementation, as this will provide clearer basis for investment decisions.$ORCA