$SUI

Ethereum is currently presenting a high-probability intraday short opportunity as price approaches a historically reactive supply zone. This setup is rooted in key structural signals, price-action behavior, and momentum indicators, suggesting a potential bearish reversal.

📍 Entry Zone

Price Level: 3,623.32 USDT

Zone Type: Major Supply Zone (Highlighted in Purple)

ETH recently pushed into a prior supply imbalance where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers — resulting in a sharp downward move. Price is now re-testing this region with weaker bullish momentum, hinting at a possible repeat rejection.

This zone has been tested multiple times, and each attempt has produced diminishing bullish follow-through, signaling buyer exhaustion.

🛡 Stop Loss Placement

Suggested Stop: Above 3,640.00 USDT

Rationale: Just above the recent swing high and the upper bounds of the supply zone.

This buffer protects against minor wicks or volatility while still adhering to invalidation principles — a close above this level would signal a breakout instead of a reversal.

🎯 Target Zone (Take Profit)

Primary Take-Profit Target: 3,309.18 USDT

Type: Key Demand Zone (Purple Rectangle)

This level aligns with a previous aggressive bullish reaction, suggesting strong buyer interest. It represents a zone where institutional demand could re-enter, making it an optimal profit-taking point for short sellers.

✅ Distance from Entry: –313 points (~–8.65%)

✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:5 or better

📊 Technical Indicators & Market Structure

Exponential Moving Average (EMA):

ETH is trading below the 50 EMA, which has recently begun to curve downward — a classic early bearish momentum signal on the 15-minute chart.

Market Structure Shift:

After forming a series of lower highs and failing to establish higher swing lows, ETH appears to be transitioning out of a bullish structure into a downtrend.

Volume Analysis: