Let's analyze the signals:
🔴 Negative:
🔽 Price below EMA 50 and EMA 200 — short-term and medium-term trend is down
❗ Strong selling pressure from the zone $1.52–$1.60 (red volume VPVR) — resistance
🔻 Recent drop below $1.43 with a sharp buyback indicates knife catching / squeeze
🟡 Neutral:
Price consolidating below the level of $1.50 — key decision-making zone (POC by VPVR)
SuperTrend = red, but close to a reversal to long upon breaking $1.50+
🟢 Positive:
📈 Rebound from the area of volume support $1.43 — the first sign of life
💧 Volatility is compressing — potential impulse in either direction in the coming hours
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📉 Levels:
Support: $1.43 🔵 (key buying level)
Resistance: $1.50 🔴 and $1.58–1.60 🔴🔴 (massive volumes + EMA)
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📈 Forecast (short-term, 2–8 hrs):
Scenario 1 — breakout up 🟢
If it consolidates above $1.50 with volume → target $1.58 and $1.63
Probability: ~35%
Scenario 2 — pullback down 🔴
If it does not hold $1.43 → drop to the zone $1.36–1.28
Probability: ~50%
Scenario 3 — flat and liquidity gathering 🟡
Trading between $1.43 and $1.50 for another 6–12 hours
Probability: ~15%
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✅ What to do?
🔪 Scalping or short-term speculation from the boundaries ($1.43 – $1.50)
❌ Do not enter long above $1.50 without a breakout with volume
⚠️ Do not hold a position without a stop! Too high volatility
📉 Long — only after confirmation above $1.52, stop — $1.47
📊 Short — on a weak pullback from $1.50, stop — $1.53
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💡 Conclusion: the market is still deciding where to go. Major players are defending $1.43, but there is no real upward momentum yet. Speculative trades are possible, but strict risk management is needed.
