Market Context and Adoption

  • Ripple continues to expand its partnerships with financial institutions and major banks for on-demand liquidity solutions, strengthening the real use of $XRP as a bridge between fiat currencies. This move favors the demand for the currency, especially in regions like Asia and the Middle East.

  • Constant innovations in the $XRP Ledger protocol (XRP L1) — such as scalability improvements and reduced transaction fees — keep the network competitive against other DeFi and hybrid DeFi CeFi solutions.

Technical Performance

  • On the daily chart, we see that XRP tested strong support near $3.00, reverting to the current price of $3.37. The formation of a doji candlestick followed by a strong bullish flag suggests a continuation of the upward movement.

  • 50 and 200-day moving averages are about to cross in a 'Golden Cross', which historically signals the start of a sustained upward trend.

Fundamental Outlook

  • Regulation: After favorable court decisions in regulatory disputes (e.g., recent cases in the U.S. involving XRP issuance), regulatory uncertainty has decreased, attracting institutional investors.



  • Liquidity and Volume: The average daily liquidity remains high, above $2 billion, which reduces the impact of large buy orders and strengthens price resilience.

Optimistic Forecast for the End of 2025

  • I don't have a crystal ball.

  • Optimistic Price Target: $5.50 to $6.20 or +

Rationale:

  1. Expansion of Partnerships: New global agreements with payment and remittance providers could double the transaction volume in XRP L1 by December 2025.


  2. Institutional Adoption: With final clearance from regulatory agencies, wallets of large funds and XRP ETFs could reach $1 billion in AUM, pushing the price upward.

  3. Supply Scarcity: Scheduled releases of XRP in custody of the parent company (Ripple) are managed so as not to massively inject supply into the market.

Catalysts:

  • Listings on major traditional exchanges (e.g., NYSE / NASDAQ).

  • Partnerships with DeFi platforms that use $XRP in stacked yields or liquidity pools.

  • New integrations of CBDCs that use XRP as atomic settlement.

Disclaimer: Analyses and forecasts do not guarantee results. The cryptocurrency market is volatile and subject to regulatory and market risks.
DYOR.