Being buried in shorts is not the end; the dog fund's tricks are just the beginning! Today, I will teach you step by step how to snatch meat from the main force!
Recently, the backend exploded; brothers stuck with 2980 shorts could circle the exchange three times! Some just hit stop-loss and it surged, while others held on until liquidation. Isn't this script too familiar? Don't rush to throw your phone; Brother Qiu will help you dissect how the main force 'fishes' and teach you three tricks to recover your losses with interest!
CPI data 'fake drop': The main force sets a trap for you, and you still take it as a lifeline?
Last night at 20:30, when the core CPI year-on-year data of 2.9% came out, how many people slapped their thighs saying 'the shorts are stable'? What happened? Bitcoin plummeted to 2980 in five minutes, and just when you chased shorts, it turned around and exploded! This is the classic trick of the main force using 'meeting expectations but not exceeding' data to lure shorts.
A real case: Fan Wang shorted 10 lots at 2980 and saw the CPI 'meet expectations,' directly increasing to 20 lots, only to be blown up half an hour later, losing $30,000. He cried out: 'The data was obviously bearish, why did it rise?' The martial arts response: The market always moves against retail traders; you think you're bottom-fishing, but you're actually catching the main force's knife!
Trump's divine assist: One shout ignites the bulls, and shorts collectively 'dance on graves'.
Trump suddenly calls out 'The Fed should lower interest rates by 3%,' directly energizing the bulls! More ruthlessly, he simultaneously throws out tariff bombs of 19% on Indonesia and 10% on small countries, along with interest rate cut expectations, allowing the main force to push up and wash out shorts. The 2980 short became the best offering.
But let's pour cold water on the martial arts: tariffs are not bullish; they are a chronic poison! Last year, when Trump raised tariffs, Bitcoin fell by 20% in a week because capital flows into the dollar for safety first. This time is similar; the current rally is a deliberate 'bullish illusion' created by the main force, waiting for you to chase before they turn around and smash the market!
Three-step method to recover: liquidation, deep trap, light trap—identify your position, follow martial arts to make a comeback!
Step 1: First calculate the 'life and death account,' don't let emotions lead the rhythm.
Liquidation party: If the account goes to zero, remember the painful lesson; next time, always use a stop-loss, with a suggested 5% stop-loss line on the principal! Deeply trapped party (floating loss > 30%)
Step 2: The deeply trapped party saves themselves using the main force’s knife to cut the main force's flesh.
Brother Qiu's unique 'rebound and add short to dilute costs method':
Timing to add shorts: If Ethereum breaks 3153 again, split positions to add short.
Cost calculation: After adding positions, raise the average cost to 3050-3080; once the pressure point falls, you can gradually close positions. Strictly control the position: total margin usage ≤ 80%, leave 20% of bullets to prevent explosion!
Hedging trick:
Open equivalent 3120 call options (as insurance); in case of a surge, you won’t get liquidated. Large funds can buy ETH spot to hedge, profiting from the rebound.
Step 3: The lightly trapped party accurately escapes—3120 is the critical point.
Break below 3120: Add shorts! Target 3050, close positions to break even. Stabilize at 3120: Reduce positions or close shorts during the rebound to 3140-3153; a 3% loss is 100 times better than liquidation!
Market nuclear warning: The dog fund's next step is to do these two things!
1. The Fed's change of leadership with Powell's successor is key.
Besenet warns: Powell may be replaced by a hawk! If the new chairman is a 'rate hike maniac,' the September rate cut will fall through, and Bitcoin could drop directly to 28000!
2. US Treasury yields break 5%, causing capital flight effect
Currently, the 10-year US Treasury yield is 4.8%. If it breaks 5%, capital will rush into Treasury bonds, and the cryptocurrency market will continue to decline! Hold your short position and wait for 3050, but don't gamble your life!
Finally, let me ask: Is your short position 'graveyard grass' or 'money tree'?
Report your positions in the comments; martial arts will select 3 people for a free diagnosis! If likes exceed 1000, the next issue will dissect 'how to turn liquidation positions into doubling positions using options'!
#CPI数据来袭
The market is never short of opportunities; what’s lacking is the vision to see through the tricks. Follow me for support from a top team, only serving ambitious madmen.
