This is a classic cycle-narrative used by bloggers and traders to attract attention. But it is not a guarantee of future growth.

Yes, historically Bitcoin has had strong increases approximately every 4 years. Usually, 12-18 months after the halving, the market peaked. This is a statistical fact.

In your post, everything is very simplified and debatable!

Cycles do not provide guarantees. The market has become much more mature. Capitalization is higher, and huge amounts of money are needed for a 5-10x increase. The effect of the past may weaken.

Macroeconomics has changed. In 2017 and 2021, interest rates were low. Now the high cost may restrain growth.

The "4-year cycle" is a visual illusion. It looks nice on the logo chart, but it does not account for new factors (ETFs, institutions, regulations). Based on this!!!! Cycles are just a guideline, not a guarantee. Assess risks soberly and do not invest just because "it was like that before".