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🎯 1. Context and Market Analysis

Current price: ≈ $0.382 (↑15% in 24 h; +51% in 7 days)

Trend: breakout of bearish trend Q2 and now in resistance zone between $0.34–0.365; next resistance at $0.40–0.425

On-chain / ecosystem:

TVL ~ $650 M (↑31% in 30 d), daily volume +3600%, active addresses +74%

Gaming-focused ecosystem (concentration risk)

Fundamentals: layer-1 network optimized for DeFi trading, completion in 400 ms, frontrunning protection, backed by institutions like Jump, Coinbase Ventures.

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📝 2. Plan Structure

Stage Action Key Level Objective/Risk

Entry Staggered buy (~1/2 position) $0.36–0.38 Enter near support, avoid slippage

Reinforcement Acquire 1/4 more if it breaks and maintains >0.38 > $0.38 Leverage positive momentum

Take Profit Part: sell 1/4 at resistance $0.42–0.43 Realize profits upon breaking next zone

Part: sell 1/4 in psychological area $0.50 Mitigate overvaluation

Stop Loss Sell if it breaks support < $0.33 (SMA50 support) Limit losses ~–13%

Review point If it pulls back, evaluate new entries or partial exit $0.33–0.34 Review market conditions

Reevaluation After zone $0.50 — Adjust segmented strategy (stop + trailing)

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⚙️ 3. Risk Management

Do not invest more than 2–5% of the total portfolio.

Staggered position to average prices and reduce timing risk.

Trailing stop loss after the first take profit to take advantage of sustained rises.

Maintain on-chain and news surveillance, especially regarding dApp launches outside of gaming.

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📊 4. Indicators and Surveillance

Price vs SMA-50 ($0.295): key dynamic support level

RSI + confirmed bullish divergence near $0.35

Volume and volatility to confirm breakouts or pullbacks.

On-chain activity, such as TVL and daily transactions (currently very strong)

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🔍 5. Timing and Horizon

Short to medium term: 2–6 weeks.

Key events: daily candle closes with volume above resistance, new dApps or updates (e.g. Sei Giga in testnet).

Strategy for decline: if it drops < $0.33, evaluate long-term accumulation if it maintains maximum adoption level; if it breaks < $0.26, possible critical reevaluation.

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🧩 6. Executive Conclusion

1. Staggered buy between $0.36–0.38.

2. Reinforcement upon breaking momentum > $0.38.

3. Take partial profits at $0.42–0.43 and $0.50.

4. Stop loss activated < $0.33.

5. Follow technical and on-chain indicators.

6. Review after key events and balanced reinvestment.

#Spot #StrategicTrading #trading #SEİ $SEI