🟡 GOLD SIGNAL UPDATE — XAU/USD
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy: SMC + FVG + OTE + EMA
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📌 Market Structure
Trend: Bullish continuation — valid BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed.
Price shows a clear Change of Character (CH) → potential pullback area.
EMA (orange & blue) supports a bullish bias as price retraces into the demand zone.
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🟤 Potential Buy Zone
✅ Buy Limit:
> 3310 – 3295
✅ Confirmation:
> Price is expected to retrace into the OTE (Optimal Trade Entry) + Fair Value Gap (FVG) within the discount zone.
✅ Low Validation:
> As long as the swing low near ~3282.642 holds, the bullish bias remains valid.
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🎯 Take Profit Levels
1️⃣ TP1: 3350 — approaching the Premium Zone.
2️⃣ TP2: 3359 — aligns with the FVG retest area.
3️⃣ TP3: 3375 — swing high & 1.618 Fibonacci extension target.
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🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
SL below 3282, ideally 3280, to remain under the valid swing low.
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📈 Scenario
Scenario 1: Price retraces to the OTE → finds support → bullish reversal toward Premium Zone.
Scenario 2: If the LOW VALID breaks → bias invalid → cut loss.
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🔑 Key Levels
> ✅ ENTRY BUY: 3310–3295
⏳ SL: < 3282
🎯 TP1–TP3: 3350 – 3359 – 3375
📊 Risk–Reward: Potential RR ~ 1:3
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🪙 Fundamental Bias
Dovish Fed and potential rate cuts favor Gold upside.
Weakening USD = bullish for Gold.
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⚠️ Risk Management
> Lot Size: Risk only 1–2% per position.
News Events: Be cautious during major releases (FOMC, CPI, NFP).
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🔥 Bias: Medium-Term BUY — stick to structure & respect the swing low.