🔍 BTC/USDT Analysis (July 15, 12:56)
$BTC in a clear downtrend
The sequence of lower highs and lows is maintained.
Candles are forming a "stair-step down" with short pullbacks.
📌 Forecast for today
Scenario 1 — Bounce (likely):
🔺 The price may test MA(7) and MA(99) — zone $117,050–117,500.
Target: $117,800–118,000 if the rise is supported by volume.
Scenario 2 — Continuation of the decline:
🔻 If $BTC does not hold $116,250 ➝ possible drop to $115,500 or below (next support zone according to market psychology).
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✅ Advice:
Catching knives is dangerous.
One can try a quick scalp on the bounce with a tight stop-loss.
Major purchases are better postponed until volume appears or a breakthrough of MA(25).
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💬 Conclusion:
BTC looks oversold, but the trend is still bearish. The best strategy is caution, waiting for confirmation of a reversal or a breakthrough of key levels.
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