As a cryptocurrency investor, I find myself in an unpredictable market every day, where each operation determines the thickness of my wallet and my mood.

To survive in the cryptocurrency space, you need to understand charts, lines, and human nature. This article will guide you through a complete set of operational logic, helping you transition from a 'retail investor' to a systematic trader.

News aspect: 'First look at the direction, then take action.' In the cryptocurrency space, news is the powder keg that ignites market movements; if you don't understand the news rhythm, no matter how good the technical aspect, it will be useless.

1: Three major points in macro news:

Federal Reserve policy (interest rate hike/cut expectations): Affects dollar liquidity; the cryptocurrency market mostly follows dollar sentiment fluctuations.

CPI/PPI and other inflation data: Affect market expectations for policies, indirectly influencing the risk appetite of the cryptocurrency market.

International events (war, financial sanctions, political instability): When risk aversion rises, BTC is often seen as 'digital gold.'

2: Industry news cannot be ignored:

ETF approval/fund flow data: Determines whether the main force is genuinely entering the market.

Exchange turmoil, on-chain hacks, security vulnerabilities: Sudden events can directly cause a stampede effect.

Whale movements, on-chain data: Analyzing on-chain address changes and transfer amounts is an important basis for judging whether the main force is adjusting positions.

Core thinking: Market movements are mostly driven by emotions; only news can change emotions.


Technical aspect: The technical aspect is the basis for formulating entry and exit strategies and is a tool for increasing win rates.

1: Three elements for trend judgment:

Candlestick patterns: Are there any reversal patterns, such as head and shoulders, W-bottom, etc.

Moving average arrangement: MA7/MA25/MA99 combination to judge bullish or bearish direction.

Bollinger Bands pattern: Judging whether the market breaks through, is suppressed, or oscillates.

2: Key position references:

Support and resistance levels: Draw horizontal lines or trend lines to find key reaction zones in prices.

Trading volume: A volume increase indicates a real rise, while a volume decrease during a rebound warrants caution against false signals.

MACD/RSI: Used to judge overbought/oversold conditions and divergence signals.

Core thinking: The technical aspect is not about predicting the future but a weapon for managing risk and positions.

Trading mindset: Losing money is not due to poor technology but a failure of human nature. You may draw excellent charts, but once it hits the real market, it all goes wrong; the core issue often lies in the mindset.

1: Three common mindset traps:

Fear: Stop-loss at the lowest point.

Solution: Set stop-loss logic in advance and replace emotional trading with planned trading.

Greed: You get a big rise, then give it all back in one go.

Solution: Establish a 'partial take-profit' mechanism to turn profits into reality.

FOMO: Everyone else is rising, and you can't help but chase.

Solution: Each operation must have a reason (based on graphics/data), not just following the crowd.

2: Build your own trading system:

There are clear entry points, take-profit points, and stop-loss points.

Review each trade, not to look at profit and loss, but to examine the decision-making process.

Only take 'a few high-win-rate' opportunities each month; do not trade just for the sake of trading.

Core thinking: Losing money is not scary; what's scary is not knowing why you lose money every time.

All three aspects are indispensable; their combination is powerful. The news aspect determines the direction, the technical aspect determines entry and exit, and the mindset determines whether you can hold onto profits. Only when these three combine can you survive long-term in the cryptocurrency space.

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