[Mu Qing says coins] Contract

Contracts are also differentiated by time duration. With the emergence of high-leverage contracts like 100x contracts, many people have started to engage in ultra-short contracts, which are relatively a fast and efficient trading method that can leverage small capital for significant returns in a short time.

To succeed in ultra-short trading, a high success rate is fundamental. This is why, among those who trade ultra-short, some can multiply their profits by 5 times, hundreds of times, or even a thousand times, while most are still hovering around breakeven and losses. The most important factor is that the former group has a high success rate, exceeding a critical threshold.

To improve the success rate, one must continuously increase their understanding of the market, find and refine high-success-rate patterns; secondly, focus on executing those patterns and avoid unfamiliar ones.

The path to success in contracts for anyone should be divided into two stages: the first is the exploratory stage, trying different strategies. The second is the final stage of consolidation, focusing on one or two strategies they are confident in, while actively abandoning other high-risk, low-reward strategies, then sticking to it. For example, Buffett once tried both short-term speculation and value investment methods in his early years, and it was only after several years that he ultimately determined that value investing was his strongest field, and even within value investing, he only invested in a few areas he was familiar with.

Many beginners fail in contract trading easily because they are still in the first stage, at which point they need to summarize and experiment continuously. Losses are just tuition fees, so don't be discouraged. But there are also many veterans who have paid enough tuition and entered the second stage, having found one or even several methods they are very confident in. They should not doubt but simply replicate.

There is no guaranteed winning pattern in contract trading. A good success pattern, in terms of success rate, is one where the expected returns are significantly positive. The same pattern can have different success rates in different market environments. Thus, fundamentally, there is no definitive winning pattern, and adjustments must be made throughout the process. However, once a successful pattern is found, its core should remain unchanged. For instance, if you are adept at a certain type of candlestick pattern that has historically had a high win rate but recently has not been effective, you need to adjust according to market changes, but it doesn’t mean completely abandoning that pattern for an entirely unknown new field.

If you have several years of experience in contracts and have a complete understanding of the success rates of certain patterns, then this pattern is basically stable. To be able to operate as much as possible around the clock, it's best to have a few strategies available. But if you can't find a few, stick to one and rest when there are no signals.

If you don't have a mature trading strategy yet, you might as well learn from the master. The master specializes in ultra-short contracts, focusing limited energy on ultra-short strategies, and has a thorough understanding of certain contract movements.

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BTC Daily Chart

BTC current price around 117120, oscillating around MA7, Bollinger Bands are starting to contract, the time for a trend change is approaching. For the past couple of days, it has been mostly ranging in the upper mid-band area with overall volume being average, but the competition between bulls and bears at key levels is still quite fierce. MACD shows a minor divergence, clearly indicating that the bulls are showing signs of fatigue after their upward movement. In the short term, it needs time to regroup strength to push to a new level, so at the daily level, it is advisable to mainly take short positions on rebounds, but to also lightly position long at support levels below.

Trading suggestion: Current price around 117126 | Support 117115 | Resistance 117200

Short in the pressure zone 117230-117260, target 117110-117130, stop loss 117250.

Support area 117070-117115, lightly position to catch a rebound, target 117110-117130.


When trading contracts, most only need to trade Bitcoin, as other cryptocurrencies generally follow Bitcoin, so I won't waste words on other cryptocurrencies here. If you have any questions, you can follow Mu Qing.
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