/ All cycles follow this rhythm
• Early pump → disbelief
• ATH break → quiet breakout
• Mania phase → parabola
We just passed the ATH break
Mania phase hasn’t even started
3/ 2013 was the same
$BTC broke its old ATH in March
No one paid attention
Then it ran 10x in the next 8 months
Retail showed up after the ATH - not before
4/ 2017 was the same
Bitcoin hit new ATH in March
Then went vertical from $1k to $20k
Everyone thinks ATH = top
But ATH = ignition
5/ 2021 repeated it again
Bitcoin broke its 2017 high in December 2020
Peak hype didn’t hit until April and November 2021
Almost 6-11 months later
ATH was mid-cycle, not the end
6/ Now, in 2025
Bitcoin broke ATH again
And once again - crickets
That’s your alpha
Cycle is repeating, but few see it because the crowd expects instant fireworks
7/ Here’s the pattern
Past 3 cycles = ~500 days from halving to top
2020 halving → Nov 2021 top
2016 halving → Dec 2017 top
2012 halving → Nov 2013 top
2024 halving → ?
Do the math
8/ Exact market peak window
2024 halving = April
Add 500 days → ~August–September 2025
That’s when the blow-off top hits
You’re not late - you’re 2/3 of the way in
9/ What happens next
Bitcoin grinds up slowly
$ETH breaks ATH and flies
Alts go 10-100x
Retail shows up begging for entry
That is your exit window, not now
10/ Don’t fade history
Bitcoin ATH with no hype is the most bullish signal of all
Past cycles tell you exactly what comes next
We’re nowhere near the top
You still have time - but not much
Time to wrap it up!
Hope you found this article interesting.
Don’t forget to share your thoughts in the comments and like.
