Bitcoin Rally Fueled by $7 Trillion U.S. Debt Shock and Macro Tailwinds, Says 10x Research

Bitcoin has surged to fresh all-time highs—but this time, it's not about hype or ETFs.According to analysts at 10x Research, the driving force behind the latest breakout is the growing macroeconomic instability, particularly a looming $7 trillion U.S. debt shock.

Macro Over Momentum

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In contrast to previous bull runs dominated by retail speculation or ETF buzz, this rally reflects deeper structural concerns about the U.S. fiscal trajectory. With policymakers eyeing a $5 trillion debt ceiling increase and deficit spending accelerating, Bitcoin is increasingly being treated not as a tech bet—but as a macro hedge.

“The narrative has completely changed,” 10x Research stated. “Bitcoin is no longer just about blockchain—it’s about global macro. It’s now being viewed as a store of value in an environment of excessive government spending.”

Key Catalysts on the Horizon

Two upcoming events are in sharp focus for investors:

July 22: A crypto policy report from former President Trump’s digital asset task force is expected to be released, potentially shaping the regulatory landscape.

July 30: The next Federal Reserve FOMC meeting could provide pivotal signals on interest rates and monetary policy as fiscal expansion surges.

These developments are contributing to a growing institutional narrative around Bitcoin as a hedge against fiat debasement and monetary excess.

Market Structure Shifts and Institutional Demand

Several signals point to a structurally healthier rally:

A significant reversal from call option selling to call buying.

Seasonal strength in July boosting sentiment.

Over $1 billion in short liquidations as Bitcoin broke key resistance levels.

10x Research also highlighted a bullish trigger in its proprietary trend model on July 2, aligning with the breakout. On-chain data and institutional flows indicate the rally is being supported by long-term capital, not short-term speculation.

Bitcoin as a Beneficiary of Fiscal Expansion

The bigger picture? Analysts argue that Bitcoin may be entering a new phase of growth—one built on a debt-driven macro cycle. As governments continue to spend aggressively, $BTC

is emerging as a potential winner amid fiscal volatility.

For now, Bitcoin’s breakout appears to be less about headlines—and more about hedging